Showing 1 - 10 of 692
and the inflation rate without error, then it is typically optimal to respond infinitely strongly to observed deviations … from the central bank's targets. If it observes inflation and the output gap with error, the central bank will temper its … terms of estimated output and inflation then it is optimal to respond infinitely strongly to estimated deviations from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951201
interest on reserves. While their effects on output and inflation are small, these policies require major adjustments in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011262796
If inflation expectations become firmly anchored at the inflation target even when average inflation deviates from the … target, the long-run Phillips curve becomes non-vertical. During 1997-2011, average inflation expectations in Sweden have … been close to the inflation target of 2 percent, whereas average inflation has fallen short of the target by 0.6 percentage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011234893
. Specifically, we estimate a series of simple models to measure the impact of inflation targeting on the dispersion of private … sector forecasts of inflation. Using a panel data set that includes 15 countries over 20 years we find no convincing evidence … that adopting an inflation targeting regime leads to a reduction in the dispersion of private sector forecasts of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008631102
This paper characterizes the properties of various interest-rate rules in a basic forward-looking model. We compare simple Taylor rules and rules that respond to price-level fluctuations (called Wicksellian rules). We argue that by introducing an appropriate amount of history dependence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008635937
In this paper, we review Otmar Issing's career as the ECB's inaugural chief economist and we document many notable successes. We try to infer some general principles that contributed to these successes and draw some lessons. In doing so, we review the evidence using Woodford%u2019s (2003) recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005710386
The new-Keynesian, Taylor-rule theory of inflation determination relies on explosive dynamics. By raising interest … rates in response to inflation, the Fed induces ever-larger inflation or deflation, unless inflation jumps to one particular … following policies we usually consider impossible. Therefore, inflation is just as indeterminate under "active" interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005710505
The new-Keynesian, Taylor-rule theory of inflation determination relies on explosive dynamics. By raising interest … rates in response to inflation, the Fed induces ever-larger inflation or deflation, unless inflation jumps to one particular … following policies we usually consider impossible. Therefore, inflation is just as indeterminate under "active" interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005710791
The optimal choice of a monetary policy instrument depends on how tight and transparent the available instruments are and on whether policymakers can commit to future policies. Tightness is always desirable; transparency is only if policymakers cannot commit. Interest rates, which can be made...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005714373
We argue that the Great Inflation experienced by both the United Kingdom and the United States in the 1970s has an … common doctrine underlying the systematic monetary policy choices in each country. The nonmonetary approach to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005718414