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We develop asset pricing models' implications for portfolio efficiency when there is conditioning information in the form of a set of lagged instruments. A model of expected returns identifies a portfolio that should be minimum variance efficient with respect to the conditioning information. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005034911
The notion of model-free implied volatility (MFIV), constituting the basis for the highly publicized VIX volatility … more compatible with the related concept of corridor implied volatility (CIV). We provide a comprehensive derivation of the … CIV measure and relate it to MFIV under general assumptions. In addition, we price the various volatility contracts, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005774581
the spot volatility extracted from the options and the one obtained nonparametrically from high-frequency data on the … underlying asset. We further construct new formal tests of the model fit for specific regions of the volatility surface and for … index options we extend the popular double-jump stochastic volatility model to allow for time-varying jump risk premia and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011271459
We ask whether stock returns in France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the US are predictable by three instruments: the dividend yield, the earnings yield and the short rate. The predictability regression is suggested by a present value model with earnings growth, payout ratios and the short rate as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005575706
Since Black, Jensen, and Scholes (1972) and Fama and MacBeth (1973), the two-pass cross-sectional regression (CSR) methodology has become the most popular approach for estimating and testing asset pricing models. Statistical inference with this method is typically conducted under the assumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005025630
Economists have long recognized that investors care differently about downside losses versus upside gains. Agents who place greater weight on downside risk demand additional compensation for holding stocks with high sensitivities to downside market movements. We show that the cross-section of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005718657
Using nonparametric techniques, we develop a methodology for estimating conditional alphas and betas and long-run alphas and betas, which are the averages of conditional alphas and betas, respectively, across time. The tests can be performed for a single asset or jointly across portfolios. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009359903
finer characteristics of these components such as the degree of activity of the jumps. We extend the existing theory to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008597185
stochastic systematic volatility, there is little evidence that the conditional alpha for a book-to-market trading strategy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005079160
We propose several econometric measures of systemic risk to capture the interconnectedness among the monthly returns of hedge funds, banks, brokers, and insurance companies based on principal components analysis and Granger-causality tests. We find that all four sectors have become highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008540040