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. Specifically, we estimate a series of simple models to measure the impact of inflation targeting on the dispersion of private … sector forecasts of inflation. Using a panel data set that includes 15 countries over 20 years we find no convincing evidence … that adopting an inflation targeting regime leads to a reduction in the dispersion of private sector forecasts of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008631102
The optimal choice of a monetary policy instrument depends on how tight and transparent the available instruments are and on whether policymakers can commit to future policies. Tightness is always desirable; transparency is only if policymakers cannot commit. Interest rates, which can be made...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005714373
The paper considers three methods for eliminating the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates and thus for restoring symmetry to domain over which the central bank can vary its policy rate. They are: (1) abolishing currency (which would also be a useful crime-fighting measure); (2) paying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036814
Since the 2008 global financial crisis, and after decades of relative neglect, the importance of the financial system and its episodic crises as drivers of macroeconomic outcomes has attracted fresh scrutiny from academics, policy makers, and practitioners. Theoretical advances are following a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011207908
The paper aims at explaining why the Bank of Japan has not adopted inflation targeting, despite calls for such a policy … give clues to changing reasons against inflation targeting. Inflation targeting was not adopted in Japan in the early years … specific number for an appropriate inflation rate. A Bank of Japan study, completed in October 2000, did not give any clear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084450
of expectations, using either price level or inflation targeting, because the zero lower bound on interest rates means … history dependent strategy, associated with inflation targeting. However, because actions speak louder than words, management …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084505
This paper analyzes the role of transparency and credibility in accounting for the widely divergent macroeconomic effects of three episodes of deliberate monetary contraction: the post-Civil War deflation, the post-WWI deflation, and the Volcker disinflation. Using a dynamic general equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084568
In the summer of 2010, the Federal Reserve's and the Swedish Riksbank's inflation forecasts were below the former …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652777
We study the problem of a policymaker who seeks to set policy optimally in an economy where the true economic structure is unobserved, and he optimally learns from observations of the economy. This is a classic problem of learning and control, variants of which have been studied in the past, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005714052
We examine optimal and other monetary policies in a linear-quadratic setup with a relatively general form of model uncertainty, so-called Markov jump-linear-quadratic systems extended to include forward-looking variables. The form of model uncertainty our framework encompasses includes: simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005829472