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The flow opportunity cost of moving from unemployment to employment consists of foregone public benefits and the … business cycle. The estimated cyclicality implies far less unemployment volatility in many leading models of the labor market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265428
This paper uses data from the Health and Retirement Study to examine retirement and related labor market outcomes for the Early Boomer cohort, those in their mid-fifties at the onset of the Great Recession. Outcomes are then compared with older cohorts at the same age. The Great Recession...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185004
Four years after the beginning of the Great Recession, the labor market remains historically weak. Many observers have concluded that "structural" impediments to recovery bear some of the blame. This paper reviews such structural explanations. I find that there is little evidence supporting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011188535
volatility of unemployment relative to labor productivity, and (ii) a mild correlation between these two variables. We address …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196340
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future … shocks do not systematically lead to more persistent unemployment than monetary policy shocks, so these cannot explain the … rising persistence of unemployment. Second, monetary and fiscal policies can account for only part of the evolving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010885297
We incorporate reference-dependent worker behavior into a search-matching model of the labor market, in which firms have all the bargaining power and productivity follows a log-linear AR(1) process. Motivated by Akerlof (1982) and Bewley (1999), we assume that existing workers' output falls...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969211
Using 1979-2011 Current Population Survey data for the United States and 1975-2011 New Earnings Survey data for Great Britain, we study wage behavior in both countries, with particular attention to the Great Recession. Real wages are procyclical in both countries, but the procyclicality of real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969431
will be supplied. Will the unemployment rate, which has declined at roughly one percent per year, decline even faster from … has profound implications for the Federal Reserve. The unemployment rate has declined rapidly, particularly within the … last year. Faster real GDP growth will accelerate the decline in the unemployment rate and soon reduce it beyond any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950750
a burst of layoffs. Unemployment rises because jobs are hard to find, not because an unusual number of people are thrown … into unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005033489
outside labor market, including especially unemployment, may be irrelevant. The job-seeker's threat point in the bargain is to … otherwise adopts all of the features of the standard Mortensen-Pissarides model, unemployment is much more sensitive to changes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005004699