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We incorporate reference-dependent worker behavior into a search-matching model of the labor market, in which firms have all the bargaining power and productivity follows a log-linear AR(1) process. Motivated by Akerlof (1982) and Bewley (1999), we assume that existing workers' output falls...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969211
Using 1979-2011 Current Population Survey data for the United States and 1975-2011 New Earnings Survey data for Great Britain, we study wage behavior in both countries, with particular attention to the Great Recession. Real wages are procyclical in both countries, but the procyclicality of real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969431
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future … shocks do not systematically lead to more persistent unemployment than monetary policy shocks, so these cannot explain the … rising persistence of unemployment. Second, monetary and fiscal policies can account for only part of the evolving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010885297
will be supplied. Will the unemployment rate, which has declined at roughly one percent per year, decline even faster from … has profound implications for the Federal Reserve. The unemployment rate has declined rapidly, particularly within the … last year. Faster real GDP growth will accelerate the decline in the unemployment rate and soon reduce it beyond any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010950750
The flow opportunity cost of moving from unemployment to employment consists of foregone public benefits and the … business cycle. The estimated cyclicality implies far less unemployment volatility in many leading models of the labor market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265428
of theory. Amongst the counterfactual implications are very low volatility of tightness, procyclical unemployment, and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084940
One of the strongest trends in recent macroeconomic modeling of labor market fluctuations is to treat unemployment … Unemployment," i.e., the extent to which increased unemployment during a recession arises from an increase in the number of … unemployment spells versus an increase in their duration. After broadly reviewing the previous literature, we replicate and extend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005085085
also a downward rigid wage for new hires. The downward rigidity in the hiring wage magnifies the response of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008625930
This chapter assesses how models with search frictions have shaped our understanding of aggregate labor market outcomes in two contexts: business cycle fluctuations and long-run (trend) changes. We first consolidate data on aggregate labor market outcomes for a large set of OECD countries. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008635906
, and price and wage rigidities. Regulation affects producer entry costs, employment protection, and unemployment benefits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010696624