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inflation measures that typically do not incorporate frequently changing promotional prices. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005575760
real GDP, of the output gap, and of the inflation rate. The primary results of the paper are based on a small three …-equation macro model that includes equations for the inflation rate, the nominal Federal Funds rate, and the change in the output gap … the model%u2019s inflation equation, and the error term in the output gap equation that is interpreted as representing %u …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005088603
indices and actual prices paid by consumers. We demonstrate that our methodology improves inflation measurement without …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011103513
The paper is an extensive review of chapter 16 in the System of National Accounts, 1993 written by Peter Hill. The basic principles for measuring price and quantity change in the National Accounts are explained. The paper also presents some new material on the consistency of superlative indexes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005714882
The debate over including asset prices in the construction of an inflation statistic has attracted renewed attention in … inflation at the retail level. In this paper, we take an alternative, longer-term perspective on the issue and argue that the … exclusion of asset prices introduces an 'excluded goods bias' in the computation of the inflation statistic that is of interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005829609
Statistical offices try to match item models when measuring inflation between two periods. However, for product areas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005775031
This paper shows that conventional measures of cost-of-living inflation, based on static models of consumption, suffer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005061539
-price changes, and an index of equiproportional changes in all inflation rates, that we label "pure" inflation. The paper estimates … changes to fundamental economic shocks. We use the estimates of the pure inflation and aggregate relative-price components to … answer two questions. First, what share of the variability of inflation is associated with each component, and how are they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005037711
In recent years, central banks have increasingly turned to "forward guidance" as a central tool of monetary policy, especially as interest rates around the world have hit the zero lower bound. Standard monetary models imply that far future forward guidance is extremely powerful: promises about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133509
A growing theoretical literature argues that aggregate price flexibility and the inflation-output tradeoff faced by … constant inflation-output tradeoff in favor of a slope that increases with microeconomic volatility. In contrast, there is no … evidence that the inflation-output tradeoff varies with aggregate volatility or the business cycle more generally. Furthermore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729050