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employment is the efficient unemployment rate, u*. We define u* as the unemployment rate that minimizes the nonproductive use of …). Accordingly, the efficient unemployment rate is the geometric average of the unemployment and vacancy rates: u* = √uv. We compute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334429
This paper uses two large datasets built from quarterly labor force surveys to provide a global perspective on labor market downturns. The distribution of the severity and duration of labor market downturns is strongly right skewed. The longest and most severe downturns are associated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015094903
We show that the largest increase in unemployment benefits in U.S. history had large spending impacts and small job …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361970
implications for the unemployment-inflation tradeoff and for the conduct of monetary policy.We proceed in two steps. We first leave … firms. We derive the relation between inflation and unemployment and discuss how it is influenced by the presence of labor … market frictions and real wage rigidities. We show the nature of the tradeoff between inflation and unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003689922
for the unemployment-inflation tradeoff and for the conduct of monetary policy.<br><br>We proceed in two steps. We first … setting by firms. We derive the relation between inflation and unemployment and discuss how it is influenced by the presence … of labor market frictions and real wage rigidities. We show the nature of the tradeoff between inflation and unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464750
-market recovery from financial crises is characterized by either higher unemployment ("jobless recovery") or a lower real wage … ("wageless recovery"). Second, inflation determines the type of recovery: low inflation (below 30 percent annual rate) is … associated with jobless recovery, while high inflation is associated with wageless recovery. The paper shows that this pattern of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460181
At the onset of the COVID pandemic, the U.S. economy suddenly and swiftly lost 20 million jobs. Over the next two years, the economy has been on the recovery path. We assess the labor market two years into the COVID crisis. We show that early employment dynamics were almost entirely driven by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362041
control for low-frequency movements in inflation, unemployment, and growth that are pervasive in the post-WWII period. We show … that cyclical fluctuations of inflation are related to cyclical movements in real activity and unemployment, in line with …We study the relation between inflation and real activity over the business cycle. We employ a Trend-Cycle VAR model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247995
U.S. inflation has recently surged, with inflation reaching its highest readings since the early 1980s. We examine the … drivers of this rise in inflation, focusing on supply chain disruptions, labor supply constraints, and their interaction … endogenous markups, we find that supply chain disruptions combined with a rise in the disutility of work raised inflation by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287312
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010474906