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Measuring the Tolerance of the State : Theory and Application to Protest

Andirin, Veli; Neggers, Yusuf; Shadmehr, Mehdi; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

We develop a measure of a regime's tolerance for an action by its citizens. We ground our measure in an economic model and apply it to the setting of political protest. In the model, a regime anticipating a protest can take a costly action to repress it. We define the regime's tolerance as the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334386

Mistrust, Misperception, and Misunderstanding : Imperfect Information and Conflict Dynamics

Acemoglu, Daron; Wolitzky, Alexander - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

-degenerate higher-order beliefs) can lead to conflict and drive its dynamics. We develop our analysis in the context of three classic … learning about the opponent's type, as well as the possibility of conflict spirals, traps, and cycles; and a deterrence model …. We relate these models to the empirical literature and to current and historical episodes of conflict …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372438

Famine and the aid response : evidence from the announcement of famine-like conditions in the Republic of Yemen

Tandon, Sharad; Vishwanath, Tara - 2019

Using a high-frequency mobile phone survey of food security conducted by the World Food Programme, this paper investigates how food assistance and access to food changed following the announcement of famine-like conditions in the Republic of Yemen. Among the mobile phone-using population, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012008382

Ethnic Remoteness Reduces the Peace Dividend from Trade Access

Desmet, Klaus; Gomes, Joseph Flavian - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

-resolution data on ethnic composition and violent conflict for sub-Saharan Africa, our analysis finds that in the wake of improved … trade access conflict declines less in locations that are ethnically remote from the rest of the country. We hypothesize …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537756

Elite capture of foreign aid : evidence from offshore bank accounts

Andersen, Jørgen Juel; Johannesen, Niels; Rijkers, Bob - 2020

Do elites capture foreign aid? This paper documents that aid disbursements to highly aid-dependent countries coincide with sharp increases in bank deposits in offshore financial centers known for bank secrecy and private wealth management, but not in other financial centers. The estimates are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012229106

Donor Contracting Conditions and Public Procurement : Causal Evidence from Kenyan Electrification

Wolfram, Catherine D.; Miguel, Edward; Hsu, Eric; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

There is limited causal evidence on the effects of different public procurement regulations on project quality and value-for-money for projects funded by national governments and foreign aid donors. This paper uses policy and experimental variation to study how two key contracting...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226145

Partial Identification of Treatment-Effect Distributions with Count-Valued Outcomes

Mullahy, John - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

With count-valued outcomes y in {0,1,...,M} identification and estimation of average treatment effects raise no special considerations beyond those involved in the continuous-outcome case. If partial identification of the distribution of treatment effects is of interest, however, count-valued...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247925

Identification and Estimation of Discrete Choice Demand Models when Observed and Unobserved Characteristics are Correlated

Petrin, Amil; Ponder, Mark; Seo, Boyoung - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

The standard Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995) (BLP) approach to estimation of demand and supply parameters assumes that the product characteristic observed by consumers and producers but not the researcher is conditionally mean independent of observed characteristics. We extend BLP to allow...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477270

Eliciting Willingness-to-Pay to Decompose Beliefs and Preferences that Determine Selection into Competition in Lab Experiments

Chen, Yvonne Jie; Dutz, Deniz; Li, Li; Moon, Sarah; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

This paper develops a partial-identification methodology for analyzing self-selection into alternative compensation schemes in a laboratory environment. We formulate a model of self-selection in which individuals select the compensation scheme with the largest expected valuation, which depends...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447251

How does the World Bank influence the development policy priorities of low-income and lower-middle income countries?

Knack, Stephen F.; Parks, Bradley; Harutyunyan, Ani; … - 2020

This study investigates the World Bank's use of lending and non-lending instruments to affect the policy priorities of developing countries. In a typical year, the World Bank lends more than USD 30 billion to its client countries. It also spends approximately USD 200 million on the provision of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012240734

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