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This chapter gives an overview of current research in evolutionary finance. We mainly focus on the survival and stability properties of investment strategies associated with the Kelly rule. Our approach to the study of the wealth dynamics of investment strategies is inspired by Darwinian ideas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971097
This paper introduces and analyzes an evolutionary model of a financial market with a risk-free asset. Focus is on the study of local stability of the wealth dynamics through the application of recent results on the linearization and stability of random dynamical systems (Evstigneev, Pirogov and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008797770
This paper studies the wealth dynamics of investors holding self-financing portfolios in a continuous-time model of a financial market. Asset prices are endogenously determined by market clearing. We derive results on the asymptotic dynamics of the wealth distribution and asset prices for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966074
Standard strategic asset allocation procedures usually neglect market interaction. However, returns are not generated in a vacuum but are the result of the market's price discovery mechanism which is driven by investors' investment strategies. Evolutionary finance accounts for this and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012800946
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480306
In the data, prices change both temporarily and permanently. Standard Calvo models focus on permanent price changes and take one of two shortcuts when confronted with the data: drop temporary changes from the data or leave them in and treat them as permanent. We provide a menu cost model that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464255
Macroeconomic and microeconomic data paint conflicting pictures of price behavior. Macroeconomic data suggest that inflation is inertial. Microeconomic data indicate that firms change prices frequently. We formulate and estimate a model which resolves this apparent micro - macro conflict. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467653
We present a theory of collusive pricing in markets subject to business cycle fluctuations. In the business cycle model that we adopt, market demand alternates stochastically between fast-growth (boom) and slow-growth (recession) phases. We provide a complete characterization of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473833
During recessions, output prices tend to rise relative to wages and raw-materials prices. One explanation of this fact is that imperfectly competitive firms compete less aggressively during recessions - that is, markups of price over marginal cost are countercyclical. We present a model in which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474320
If changes in aggregate demand were an important source of macroeconomic fluctuations, real wages would be countercyclical unless markups of price over marginal cost were themselves countercyclical. We thus examine three theories of markup variation at cyclical frequencies. The first assumes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475463