Showing 1 - 10 of 141
We answer the question posed by the title by specifying and estimating a simple dynamic model of prices, wages, and … product-market and labor-market shocks on prices and nominal wages and to quantify the sources of U.S. pandemic-era inflation …, most of the inflation surge that began in 2021 was the result of shocks to prices given wages. These shocks included sharp …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322804
correlations between labor market tightness and wages weakened noticeably. This change was accompanied in a break in the … relationship between wages and prices, so wage inflation has become a much less important determinant of price inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481526
When central banks set nominal interest rates according to an interest rate reaction function, such as the Taylor rule, and the exchange rate is priced by uncovered interest parity, the real exchange rate is determined by expected inflation differentials and output gap differentials. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467626
We study the post-war evidence for Japan to see if the same specification for both the economy and the monetary policy rule is useful for understanding Japan's economy and monetary policy. A recurrent theme in the literature on Japanese monetary policy is that there are significant differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472722
This paper analyzes German monetary policy in the post-Bretton Woods era. Despite the public focus on monetary targeting, in practice, German monetary policy involves the management of short term interest rates, as it does in the United States. Except during the mid to late 1970s, the Bundesbank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473267
In this paper we provide empirical measures of central bank credibility and augment these with historical narratives from eleven countries. To the extent we are able to apply reliable institutional information we can also indirectly assess their role in influencing the credibility of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457842
This paper examines the historical evolution of central bank credibility using both historical narrative and empirics for a group of 16 countries, both advanced and emerging. It shows how the evolution of credibility has gone through a pendulum where credibility was high under the classical gold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457973
Monetary policy is conventionally understood to influence labor demand, with little effect on labor supply. We estimate the response of labor market flows to high-frequency changes in interest rates around FOMC announcements and Fed Chair speeches and find that, in contrast to the consensus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421195
's assumption that wage bargainers are influenced by relative money wages rather than relative real wages. In Taylor's model money … that wage bargainers are influenced by relative real wages, which we consider somewhat more plausible, has some interesting … implications for the empirical estimation of models with staggered wage contracts (see especially Taylor, 1980b) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478589
exerts significant downward pressure on nominal wages. Finally, we consider the monetary policy implications of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457572