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The term structure of equity returns is downward-sloping: stocks with high cash flow duration earn 1.10% per month lower returns than short-duration stocks in the cross section. I create a measure of cash flow duration at the firm level using balance sheet data to show this novel fact. Factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456159
operating profit of capital, I extend the model to include measurement error and analyze the cash-flow coefficient in … regressions of investment on q and cash flow. In empirical studies, the estimated cash-flow coefficient is generally positive and … derive closed-form expressions for the cash-flow coefficient that are positive and larger for faster growing firms, yet there …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457120
We review the literature on return and cash flow growth predictability form the perspective of the present-value identity. We focus predominantly on recent work. Our emphasis is on U.S. aggregate stock return predictability, but we also discuss evidence from other asset classes and countries
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462008
By postulating a simple stochastic process for the firm's cash flows in which the drift and the variance of the process depend on the investment policy of the firm, we develop a theoretical model, determine the optimal investment policy and, given this policy, calculate the ratio of the current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462843
shock on future cash-flow growth. The elasticities are designed to accommodate nonlinearities in the stochastic evolution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463143
This paper proposes a dynamic risk-based model capable of jointly explaining the term structure of interest rates, returns on the aggregate market and the risk and return characteristics of value and growth stocks. Both the term structure of interest rates and returns on value and growth stocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463950
We develop a new GMM-style methodology with good small-sample properties to assess the abnormal performance and risk exposure of a non-traded asset from a cross-section of cash flow data. We apply this method to a sample of 958 mature private equity funds spanning 24 years. Our methodology uses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464502
We develop a model of investment with financial constraints and use it to investigate the relation between investment and Tobin's q. A firm is financed partly by insiders, who control its assets, and partly by outside investors. When their wealth is scarce, insiders earn a rate of return higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465562
The demand for durable goods is more cyclical than that for nondurable goods and services. Consequently, the cash flows and stock returns of durable-good producers are exposed to higher systematic risk. Using the benchmark input-output accounts of the National Income and Product Accounts, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465670
This paper studies the valuation of assets with debt tax shields when debt policy is a general time-dependent function of the asset's unlevered cash flows, value, and history. In a continuous-time setting, it shows that the value of a project's debt tax shield satisfies a partial differential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469352