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employment is the efficient unemployment rate, u*. We define u* as the unemployment rate that minimizes the nonproductive use of …). Accordingly, the efficient unemployment rate is the geometric average of the unemployment and vacancy rates: u* = √uv. We compute …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334429
variables while it is uncorrelated with life satisfaction. The unemployment rate and the CPI reduce both. We analyze data for 29 … European countries to predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead using individuals' fears of unemployment in the … presence of country and year fixed effects and lagged unemployment. We also use firms' expectations of future employment, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447326
We document the sources behind the costs of job loss over the business cycle using administrative data from Germany. Losses in annual earnings after displacement are large, persistent, and highly cyclical, nearly doubling in size during downturns. A large part of the long-term earnings losses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334381
We propose that the natural rate of unemployment has an active role in the business cycle, in contrast to the … Phillips-curve framework of low---often extremely low---response of inflation to unemployment could be the result of fairly … most Phillips-curve studies, that conclude that inflation has little relation to unemployment. We suggest that the flat …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436979
Licensed workers could be shielded from unemployment during recession since occupational licensing laws are asymmetric …-in-differences event study research design that exploits cross-state variation in licensing laws to compare the unemployment rate between …, we find that licensing shields workers from a recession-induced increase in the unemployment rate of 0.82 p.p. during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544764
Unemployment insurance has the standard effect of reducing employment, but also helps workers to get a suitable job. The … unemployment, productivity growth and wage inequality. To show this, we construct two fictitious economies with calibrated … parameters which only differ by the degree of unemployment insurance and assume that they are hit by a common technological shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472779
. In the context of such a model, we introduce a measure of unemployment and analyze its equilibrium behavior. We show that … unemployment rate, in a way qualitatively consistent with the evidence. The model stresses the role of countercyclical markups in … the goods market as a key mechanism underlying the countercyclical behavior of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473532
similarity of the pattern of segmentation across 66 different countries. The paper goes on to consider how unemployment might be … understood in a labor market segmentation framework. Existing models of unemployment in a dual labor market suggest that … unemployment should be concentrated among those who are ultimately employed in high wage jobs. In fact, unemployment seems to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474906
Fluctuations in the equilibrium rate of unemployment can only be understood within a theory of the natural or … equilibrium rate. It is not enough to say that unemployment is the difference between supply and demand in the labor market … themselves better off. At the equilibrium unemployment rate, employers cannot obtain labor at lower cost by offering work at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478911
Recent critiques have demonstrated that existing attempts to account for the unemployment volatility puzzle of search … reproduces the observed fluctuations in unemployment because hiring a worker is a risky investment with long-duration surplus … benefit from creating new matches greatly drops, leading to a large decline in job vacancies and an increase in unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480524