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We study the impact of oil price shocks on US stock market volatility. We derive three different structural oil shock … variables (i.e. aggregate demand, oil-supply, and oil-demand shocks) and relate them to stock market volatility, using bivariate … stock market volatility only with delay. This implies that innovations to the price of crude oil are not strictly exogenous …
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This paper examines the potential influence of changing volatility in stock market prices on the level of stock market … prices. It demonstrates that volatility is only weakly serially correlated, implying that shocks to volatility do not persist …. These shocks can therefore have only a small impact on stockmarket prices, since changes in volatility affect expected …
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We create a newspaper-based Equity Market Volatility (EMV) tracker that moves with the VIX and with the realized … volatility of returns on the S&P 500. Parsing the underlying text, we find that 72 percent of EMV articles discuss the … Macroeconomic Outlook, and 44 percent discuss Commodity Markets. Policy news is another major source of volatility: 35 percent of …
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) levels of volatility. These results provide a novel perspective on both the equity risk premium and excess volatility puzzles …
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role for credit growth (beyond its role in constructing the inflation forecast) would reduce the volatility of output and …
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