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Households' and firms' subjective inflation expectations play a central role in macroeconomic and intertemporal microeconomic models. We discuss how subjective inflation expectations are measured, the patterns they display, their determinants, and how they shape households' and firms' economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210074
As the pandemic spread across the U.S., disagreement among U.S. households about inflation expectations surged along with the mean perceived and expected level of inflation. Simultaneously, the inflation experienced by households became more dispersed. Using matched micro data on spending of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814415
. Information treatments about current and next year's interest rates have a strong effect on household expectations but treatments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479302
We study how different forms of communication influence the inflation expectations of individuals in a randomized controlled trial. We first solicit individuals' inflation expectations in the Nielsen Homescan panel and then provide eight different forms of information regarding inflation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479438
We implement a survey of Dutch households in which random subsets of respondents receive information about inflation. The resulting exogenously generated variation in inflation expectations is used to assess how expectations affect subsequent monthly consumption decisions relative to those in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480052
Using a large-scale survey of U.S. households during the Covid-19 pandemic, we study how new information about fiscal and monetary policy responses to the crisis affects households' expectations. We provide random subsets of participants in the Nielsen Homescan panel with different combinations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481579
primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate this higher inflation. Are household inflation expectations sensitive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482700
We construct key household and individual economic variables using a panel micro data set from the Russia Longitudinal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463569
luxury goods. Moreover, uncertainty reduces household propensity to invest in mutual funds. These results support the notion … that macroeconomic uncertainty can impact household decisions and have large negative effects on economic outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496179
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012250334