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Germany as center countries with rising / high current account deficits (US) and surpluses (Germany). These are matched by … analysis extends from 1981-2008, the results for Germany mostly capture the situation before the euro was created. - Global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973544
This paper analyses the incidence and severity of sudden stops in euro area countries before and after the introduction of the ECB's asset purchase programmes. We define sudden stops as abrupt declines in private net financial inflows, i.e. total flows adjusted for EU and IMF loans and changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643263
We investigate the interactions across current account misalignments, Real Effective Exchange Rate misalignments and financial (or output) gaps within EU countries. We apply panel techniques, including a Bayesian panel VAR, to 27 EU members over the period 1994-2012. We find that, for the euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637376
Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) has transformed Europe and has created an integrated pan-European economy. Much research has focused on understanding this integration process and what benefits and costs it entails. This paper identifies a political economy channel of EMU as the monetary union...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003794175
. Using this framework, we show conditions under which idiosyncratic shocks to bank lending can generate aggregate … sector for many countries is indeed granular, as the right tail of the bank size distribution follows a power law. We then … concentration is associated with a positive and significant relationship between bank-level credit growth and aggregate growth of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459568
major source of cross-country heterogeneity in the eurozone. We develop a two-country model with incomplete international …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662924
We model a reinsurance mechanism for the national unemployment insurance programs of euro area member states. The risk-sharing scheme we analyze is designed to smooth country-level unemployment risk and expenditures around each country's median level, so that participation and contributions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544675
excess liquidity is likely to persist on account of higher demand for central bank reserves compared to the pre-crisis period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448708
estimate only moderate effects on the financial sector: the share of Non Performing Loans on bank balance sheets would increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481180
We present estimates of finance-adjusted output gaps which incorporate the information on the domestic and global credit cycles for a sample of emerging market economies (EMEs). Following recent BIS research, we use a state-space representation of an HP filter augmented with a measure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637326