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We study the design of optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. We use a Markov jump-linear-quadratic (MJLQ) approach to study policy design, approximating the uncertainty by different discrete modes in a Markov chain, and by taking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464755
Two laboratory experiments - one a statistical urn problem, the other a monetary policy experiment - were run to test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470828
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009766427
Recent interest in "Risk Management"has highlighted the relevance of Bayesian analysis for robust monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003747990
This paper studies optimal discretionary policy with parameter uncertainty about inflation inertia. Optimal policy rules and impulse responses are presented within a hybrid New-Keynesian model estimated for the euro area by Smets (2003). We find that it may be optimal for policy to respond more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003208613
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This paper examines monetary policy in Rudebusch and Svensson's (1999) two equation macroeconomic model when the policymaker recognizes that the model is an approximation and is uncertain about the quality of that approximation. It is argued that the minimax approach of robust control provides a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471286
discourages short-term inflows mainly through portfolio risk and precautionary saving channels. A markup channel generates net FDI … irreversibility of FDI, the currency of export invoicing, risk aversion of outside agents, and effective lower bound in the rest of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481668
We study the effect of releasing public information about productivity or monetary shocks when agents learn from nominal prices. While public releases have the benefit of providing new information, they can have the cost of reducing the informational efficiency of the price system. We show that,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464392
We examine optimal and other monetary policies in a linear-quadratic setup with a relatively general form of model uncertainty, so-called Markov jump-linear-quadratic systems extended to include forward-looking variables. The form of model uncertainty our framework encompasses includes: simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466939