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Risky Oil : It's All in the Tails
Baumeister, Christiane; Huber, Florian; Marcellino, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
The substantial fluctuations in oil prices in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine have highlighted the importance of tail events in the global market for crude oil which call for careful risk assessment. In this paper we focus on forecasting tail risks in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544801
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Forecasting macroeconomic variables using diffusion indexes in short samples with structural change
Banerjee, Anindya; Marcellino, Massimiliano; Masten, Igor - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003913416
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Markov-switching three-pass regression filter
Guérin, Pierre; Leiva-Leon, Danilo; Marcellino, … - 2016 - This version: November, 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011805831
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Portfolio performance of linear SDF models : an out-of-sample assessment
Guidolin, Massimo; Hansen, Erwin; Lozano-Banda, Martín - 2018 - This version: February, 2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011920747