Showing 1 - 10 of 89
Recent trends suggest the world economy may be tending towards an equilibrium with two distinct trading blocs, each …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322792
-dimensional connections between globalization and innovation. We develop a model that features many of those mechanisms that connect trade and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794638
After decades of rising global economic integration, the world economy is now fragmenting. To measure this phenomenon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576667
Global supply chains have come under unprecedented stress as a result of US-China trade tensions, the Covid-19 pandemic, and geopolitical shocks. We document shifts in the pattern of US participation in global value chains over the last four decades, in terms of partner countries, products, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372418
This paper analyzes frameworks for the design of the rules for international trading, assuming that it is possible to have some rule of law. In the Arrow-Debreu benchmark, where there is no economic power and political power is seemingly irrelevant, there is no need for trade agreements - free...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576561
-movements of global factors in asset prices and capital flows with commodity prices, international trade and world output as well … as the sensitivity of different parts of the world to the Global Financial Cycle. We present evidence of the causal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660005
We develop a theory to account for changes in prices of risky and safe assets and gross and net capital flows over the global financial cycle (GFC). The multi-country model features global risk-aversion shocks and heterogeneity of investors both within and across countries. Within-country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629437
We generalize the closed-economy neoclassical growth model (CNGM) to allow for costly goods trade and capital flows with imperfect substitutability between countries. We develop a tractable, multi-country, quantitative model that matches key features of the observed data (e.g., gravity equations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447272
We study the role of global financial intermediaries in international lending. We construct a model of the world … regular business cycles. The portfolio of financial intermediaries and the distribution of bond holdings in the world economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585376
bonds, greater risk-bearing capacity in the U.S. than the rest of the world, and nominal rigidities. A flight to safety …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629458