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Measuring the Tolerance of the State : Theory and Application to Protest
Andirin, Veli; Neggers, Yusuf; Shadmehr, Mehdi; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
We develop a measure of a regime's tolerance for an action by its citizens. We ground our measure in an economic model and apply it to the setting of political protest. In the model, a regime anticipating a protest can take a costly action to repress it. We define the regime's tolerance as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334386
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Mistrust, Misperception, and Misunderstanding : Imperfect Information and Conflict Dynamics
Acemoglu, Daron; Wolitzky, Alexander - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
-degenerate higher-order beliefs) can lead to conflict and drive its dynamics. We develop our analysis in the context of three classic … learning about the opponent's type, as well as the possibility of conflict spirals, traps, and cycles; and a deterrence model …. We relate these models to the empirical literature and to current and historical episodes of conflict …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014372438
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Ethnic Remoteness Reduces the Peace Dividend from Trade Access
Desmet, Klaus; Gomes, Joseph Flavian - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
-resolution data on ethnic composition and violent conflict for sub-Saharan Africa, our analysis finds that in the wake of improved … trade access conflict declines less in locations that are ethnically remote from the rest of the country. We hypothesize …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013537756
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Donor Contracting Conditions and Public Procurement : Causal Evidence from Kenyan Electrification
Wolfram, Catherine D.; Miguel, Edward; Hsu, Eric; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
There is limited causal evidence on the effects of different public procurement regulations on project quality and value-for-money for projects funded by national governments and foreign aid donors. This paper uses policy and experimental variation to study how two key contracting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014226145
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Partial Identification of Treatment-Effect Distributions with Count-Valued Outcomes
Mullahy, John - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
With count-valued outcomes y in {0,1,...,M} identification and estimation of average treatment effects raise no special considerations beyond those involved in the continuous-outcome case. If partial identification of the distribution of treatment effects is of interest, however, count-valued...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247925
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Identification and Estimation of Discrete Choice Demand Models when Observed and Unobserved Characteristics are Correlated
Petrin, Amil; Ponder, Mark; Seo, Boyoung - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
The standard Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995) (BLP) approach to estimation of demand and supply parameters assumes that the product characteristic observed by consumers and producers but not the researcher is conditionally mean independent of observed characteristics. We extend BLP to allow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013477270
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Eliciting Willingness-to-Pay to Decompose Beliefs and Preferences that Determine Selection into Competition in Lab Experiments
Chen, Yvonne Jie; Dutz, Deniz; Li, Li; Moon, Sarah; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
This paper develops a partial-identification methodology for analyzing self-selection into alternative compensation schemes in a laboratory environment. We formulate a model of self-selection in which individuals select the compensation scheme with the largest expected valuation, which depends...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447251
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Conflicts and Common Interests in Committees
Li, Hao - 1999
Committees improve decisions by pooling independent information of members, but promote manipulation, obfuscation, and exaggeration of private evidence when members have conflicting preferences. We study how self-interest mediates these conflicting forces. When members' preferences differ, no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471629
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On the Dynamics of Human Behavior : The Past, Present, and Future of Culture, Conflict, and Cooperation
Nunn, Nathan - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
I provide a theoretically-guided discussion of the dynamics of human behavior, focusing on the importance of culture (socially-learned information) and tradition (transmission of culture across generations). Decision-making that relies on tradition can be an effective strategy and arises in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938773
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The Promise and Pitfalls of Conflict Prediction : Evidence from Colombia and Indonesia
Bazzi, Samuel - 2019
Policymakers can take actions to prevent local conflict before it begins, if such violence can be accurately predicted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479929