Showing 1 - 10 of 481
We update Rose and Spiegel (2009a, b) and search for simple quantitative models of macroeconomic and financial indicators of the "Great Recession" of 2008-09. We use a cross-country approach and examine a number of potential causes that have been found to be successful indicators of crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462412
aggregate level through two channels: a fall in total factor productivity and an aggregate labor wedge distortion. The strength …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456463
This article reviews the assumptions and methodologies underlying EMU probability calculators,' which infer from financial data the probability of specific countries joining the European Monetary Union. Some historical evidence is presented in support of the expectations hypothesis for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471937
We examine the link between labour market developments and new technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI) and software in 16 European countries over the period 2011- 2019. Using data for occupations at the 3-digit level in Europe, we find that on average employment shares have increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322745
Concern exists that public funding of science is increasingly risk averse. Funders have addressed this concern by soliciting the submission of high-risk research to either regular or specially designed programs. Little evidence, however, has been gathered to examine the extent to which such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361975
This paper documents the evidence for a productivity based model of the dollar/euro real exchange rate over the 1985 …-2001 period. We estimate cointegrating relationships between the real exchange rate, productivity, and the real price of oil using … productivity differential results in a five percentage point real appreciation of the dollar. This finding is robust to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469891
This paper models and estimates ex ante safety-net benefits at a sample of large banks in US and Europe during 2003-2008. Our results suggest that difficult-to-fail and unwind (DFU) banks enjoyed substantially higher ex ante benefits than other institutions. Safety-net benefits prove...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461870
At a time of historic challenges to the viability of the Eurozone, we assess the contribution of the EU and the Euro to equity market integration in Europe. We use a simple and essentially model free measure of bilateral market segmentation: two countries are segmented if there is a wide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462074
We use a comprehensive database of inter-dealer quotes to conduct the first empirical analysis of the dynamics of the swaption cube. Using a model independent approach, we establish a set of stylized facts regarding the cross-sectional and time-series variation of conditional volatility and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462108
We investigate the relationship between financial integration and output volatility at micro and macro levels. Using a very large firm-level dataset from EU countries over time, we construct a measure of "deep" financial integration at the regional level based on foreign ownership at the firm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462751