Showing 1 - 10 of 44
We study a dynamic general equilibrium model where innovation takes the form of the introduction new goods, whose production requires skilled workers. Innovation is followed by a costly process of standardization, whereby these new goods are adapted to be produced using unskilled labor. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462712
Medical and public health innovations in the 1940s quickly resulted in significant health improvements around the world. Countries with initially higher mortality from infectious diseases experienced greater increases in life expectancy, population, and - over the following 40 years - social...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455359
collection, we develop and field a new monthly panel Survey of Business Uncertainty. The SBU began in 2014 and now covers about 1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479906
We use a major new survey of UK firms, the Decision Maker Panel, to assess the impact of the June 2016 Brexit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480162
We consider several economic uncertainty indicators for the US and UK before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: implied stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic policy uncertainty, twitter chatter about economic uncertainty, subjective uncertainty about future business growth, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481613
Assessing the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is essential for policymakers, but challenging because the crisis has unfolded with extreme speed. We identify three indicators - stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic uncertainty, and subjective uncertainty in business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481939
panel survey. Our estimates suggest that Covid-19 will reduce TFP in the private sector by up to 5% in 2020 Q4, falling back …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482452
We use survey data on an opt-in panel of around 2,500 US small businesses to assess the impact of COVID-19. We find a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482532
Uncertainty appears to jump up after major shocks like the Cuban Missile crisis, the assassination of JFK, the OPEC I oil-price shock and the 9/11 terrorist attack. This paper offers a structural framework to analyze the impact of these uncertainty shocks. I build a model with a time varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465265
business cycles. Exploiting our long panel of data from 1975 to 2020 we find wide heterogeneity in the exposure of different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533420