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for the United States but also with reference to the wider world. We establish the outlines of international integration a … century ago and analyze the institutional and informational impediments that prevented the late nineteenth century world from … achieving the same degree of integration as today. We conclude that the world today is different: commercial and financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471593
Do external imbalances increase the risk of financial crises? In this paper, we study the experience of 14 developed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462090
Alexander Swoboda is one of the originators of the bipolar view that capital mobility creates pressure for countries to abandon intermediate exchange rate arrangements in favor of greater flexibility and harder pegs. This paper takes another look at the evidence for this hypothesis using two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464545
and pre-World War I gold standard eras …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467043
interest. This image of the current system as Bretton Woods reborn also overlooks how the world has changed since the 1960s … resembling the Bretton Woods System, it is not long for this world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468196
Recent globalization trends have refocused attention on the historical evolution of international capital mobility over the long run. The issue is examined here using time-series analysis of current-account dynamics for fifteen countries since circa 1850. The inter-war period emerges as an era...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469787
The ebb and flow of international capital since the nineteenth century illustrates recurring difficulties, as well as the alternative perspectives from which policymakers have tried to confront them. This paper is devoted to documenting these vicissitudes quantitatively and explaining them....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469869
international monetary framework was responsible for the relatively short-lived and mild nature of pre-World War I financial crises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469999
In this paper we reconsider the international market integration, starting at high levels in the late nineteenth century, collapsing between the wars, and recovering gradually after 1945 to reach levels comparable to pre-1914 in the 1990's. The empirical evidence we survey suggests that in some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472076
in the comovement of global equity markets is particularly notable. We demonstrate that fluctuations in risk premiums …, and not risk-free rates and dividends, account for a large part of the observed equity price synchronization after 1990 …. We also show that U.S. monetary policy has come to play an important role as a source of fluctuations in risk appetite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453043