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Innovation is often predicated on discovering useful new combinations of existing knowledge in highly complex knowledge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453175
We model a key step in the innovation process, hypothesis generation, as the making of predictions over a vast …, they use artificial intelligence (AI) instead. We model innovation as resulting from sequential search over a combinatorial … innovation outcomes of interest - the probability of innovation, expected search duration, and expected profit. We describe …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337792
We ask whether a technical objective of using human performance of tasks as a benchmark for AI performance will result in the negative outcomes highlighted in prior work in terms of jobs and inequality. Instead, we argue that task automation, especially when driven by AI advances, can enhance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014421192
Recent advances in AI represent improvements in prediction. We examine how decision-making and risk management strategies change when prediction improves. The adoption of AI may cause substitution away from risk management activities used when rules are applied (rules require always taking the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334395