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Financial sector ups and downs and the real sector : big hindrance, little help

Aizenman, Joshua - 2011

"We examine how financial expansion and contraction cycles affect the broader economy through their impact on 8 real economic sectors in a panel of 28 countries over 1960-2005, paying particular attention to large, or sharp, contractions and magnifying and mitigating factors. Overall, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011395532

Large Fiscal Episodes and Sustainable Development : Some International Evidence

Aizenman, Joshua; Jinjarak, Yothin; Nguyen, Hien Thi Kim; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

This paper examines the association between episodes of large fiscal impulses (expansions and adjustments) and sustainable development indicators (prosperity, resilience, and inclusivity). We provide country studies of Chile, Poland, South Africa, and Thailand, examining the components of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510619

Fiscal Stimulus and Commercial Bank Lending Under COVID-19

Aizenman, Joshua; Jinjarak, Yothin; Spiegel, Mark - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

We investigate the implications of extra-normal government spending under the COVID-19 pandemic for commercial bank lending growth between 2019Q4 and 2020Q4 in a large sample of over 3000 banks from 71 countries. We control for pre-pandemic structural factors, bank characteristics and government...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172181

International Evidence of Strengthening Taxes and Spending For Sustainable Development

Aizenman, Joshua; Jinjarak, Yothin; Hien Nguyen; Park, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

We trace the linkages between the episodes of fiscal expansion and consolidation in 72 advanced and emerging and developing economies. The findings suggest that fiscal expansions are positively associated with economic growth, which in turn is positively linked with better sustainable...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794621

Successful Adjustment in a Multi-Sectoral Economy

Aizenman, Joshua - 1987

This study analyzes the adjustment to a fiscal reform in a dependent economy. It evaluates the economic factors that … credibility of the fiscal reform. It is shown that the absence of credibility may have major consequences on the adjustment …, because it will depress the magnitude of the private investment associated with the fiscal reform …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476867

Fiscal Space and Government-Spending & Tax-Rate Cyclicality Patterns : A Cross-Country Comparison, 1960-2016

Aizenman, Joshua - 2018

This paper compares fiscal cyclicality across advanced and developing countries, geographic regions as well as income levels over 1960-2016 period, then identifies factors that explain countries' government spending and tax-policy cyclicality. Public debt/tax base ratio provides a more robust...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480665

Pandemic Shocks and Fiscal-Monetary Policies in the Eurozone : COVID-19 Dominance During January - June 2020

Jinjarak, Yothin - 2020

This case study compares the importance of prevailing market factors against that of COVID-19 dynamics and policy responses in explaining the evolution of Eurozone (EZ) sovereign spreads during the first half of 2020. Focusing on daily Eurozone CDS spreads, we adopt a multi-stage econometric...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481646

Post COVID-19 Exit Strategies and Emerging Markets Economic Challenges

Aizenman, Joshua - 2020

We outline two divergent exit strategies of the U.S. from the post COVID-19 debt-overhang, and analyze their implications on Emerging Markets and global stability. The first strategy is the U.S. aiming at returning to the 2019, pre-COVID mode of loose fiscal policy and accommodating monetary...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482186

Net Fiscal Stimulus During the Great Recession

Aizenman, Joshua - 2011

This paper studies the patterns of fiscal stimuli in the OECD countries propagated by the global crisis. Overall, we find that the USA net fiscal stimulus was modest relative to peers, despite it being the epicenter of the crisis, and having access to relatively cheap funding of its twin...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461878

De facto Fiscal Space and Fiscal Stimulus : Definition and Assessment

Aizenman, Joshua - 2010

We define the notion of a 'de facto fiscal space' of a country as the inverse of the tax-years it would take to repay the public debt. Specifically, we measure the outstanding public debt relative to the de facto tax base, where the latter measures the realized tax collection, averaged across...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462118