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Balance Sheet Effects on Monetary and Financial Spillovers : The East Asian Crisis Plus 20

Aizenman, Joshua - 2016

We study how the financial conditions in the Center Economies [the U.S., Japan, and the Euro area] impact other … euro) makes the response of a financial variable such as the REER and exchange market pressure in the PHs more sensitive to … a change in key variables in the U.S. (or the euro area) such as policy interest rates and the REER. While having more …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455943

Optimal Currency Area : A 20th Century Idea For the 21st Century?

Aizenman, Joshua - 2016

We take stock of the history of the European Monetary Union and pegged exchange-rate regimes in recent decades. The post-Bretton Woods greater financial integration and under-regulated financial intermediation have increased the cost of sustaining a currency area and other forms of fixed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456577

Reserve Uncertainty and the Supply of International Credit

Aizenman, Joshua - 1999

This paper examines how increased uncertainty about an emerging market's international reserves affects the willingness of foreign investors to supply international credits. We illustrate the relevance of this concern for South Korea during the recent financial crisis. Using available...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471586

Fundamentals and Sovereign Risk of Emerging Markets

Aizenman, Joshua - 2013

We empirically assess the relative importance of various economic fundamentals in accounting for the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads of emerging markets during 2004-2012, which encompasses the global financial crisis of 2008-2009. Inflation, state fragility, external debt, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459699

Living with the Trilemma Constraint : Relative Trilemma Policy Divergence, Crises, and Output Losses for Developing Countries

Aizenman, Joshua - 2013

This paper investigates the potential impacts of the degree of divergence in open macroeconomic policies in the context of the trilemma hypothesis. Using an index that measures the relative policy divergence among the three trilemma policy choices, namely monetary independence, exchange rate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459214

Good-Bye Original Sin, Hello Risk On-Off, Financial Fragility, and Crises?

Aizenman, Joshua - 2020

We analyze the sovereign bond issuance data of eight major emerging markets (EMs) - Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, South Africa and Turkey from 1970 to 2018. Our analysis suggests that (i) EM local currency bonds tend to be smaller in size, shorter in maturity, or lower in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481987

International Reserve Management, Global Financial Shocks, and Firms' Investment in Emerging Market Economies

Aizenman, Joshua; Cheung, Yin-Wong; Qian, Xingwang - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

We examine the effects of active international reserve management (IRM) conducted by central banks of emerging market economies (EMEs) on firm investment in the presence of global financial shocks. Using firm level data from 46 EMEs from 2000 to 2018, we document four findings. First, active IRM...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629523

From the Great Moderation to the global crisis : Exchange market pressure in the 2000s

Aizenman, Joshua - 2010

This paper investigates the factors explaining exchange market pressures (EMP) and the hoarding and use of international reserves (IR) by emerging markets during the 2000s, as the Great Moderation turned to the 2008-9 global crisis and great recession. According to our results, both financial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462210

Exchange Market Pressure and Absorption by International Reserves : Emerging Markets and Fear of Reserve Loss During the 2008-09 Crisis

Aizenman, Joshua - 2010

This paper evaluates how the global financial crisis emanating from the U.S. was transmitted to emerging markets. Our focus is on the extent that the crisis caused external market pressures (EMP), and whether the absorption of the shock was mainly through exchange rate depreciation or the loss...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462335

Hoarding International Reserves Versus a Pigovian Tax-Cum-Subsidy Scheme : Reflections on the Deleveraging Crisis of 2008-9, and a Cost Benefit Analysis

Aizenman, Joshua - 2009

We outline the case for supporting self-insurance by imposing a tax on external borrowing in a model of an emerging market. Entrepreneurs finance tangible investments via bank intermediation of foreign borrowing, exposing the economy to negative fire-sale externalities at times of deleveraging;...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463165

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