We use the dynamics of U.S. imports across goods in the period around the U.S.-China trade war with a model of exporter … China would face Non-Normal Trade Relations tariffs in the future. Our findings imply that the expected mean future U ….S. tariff on China rose more under President Biden than under President Trump. We also show that the trade response to the trade …

1980s, and, despite China's accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001, changed little throughout the late … the trade growth that followed China's WTO accession was a delayed response to previous reforms rather than a response to … multi-industry, heterogeneous-firm model with a dynamic export participation decision to estimate a path of trade …