conditional volatility of income process. An important prediction of the model is that income volatility predicts future jumps … consumption volatility, but not by the changes in the consumption level. We show that the model can quantitatively capture these …

-varying uncertainty (i.e., volatility) about future economic prospects drive asset prices. These two channels of economic risks can …

financial markets such as the size of the equity premium and the volatility of the stock market. In one model, the long run … significance levels, and they can track quite closely a new measure of realized annual volatility. Further scrutiny using a rich …

In this paper we show that measures of economic uncertainty (conditional volatility of consumption) predict and are …

We show that volatility movements have first-order implications for consumption dynamics and asset prices. Volatility … news affects the stochastic discount factor and carries a separate risk premium. In the data, volatility risks are … aggregate wealth and the cross-sectional differences in risk premia. Estimation of our volatility risks based model yields an …