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the U.S. would experience a sudden stop of capital flows, which would unavoidably drag the world economy into a deep … instead that the root imbalance was of a different kind: The entire world had an insatiable demand for safe debt instruments … of exposing the economy to a systemic panic. This structural problem can be alleviated if governments around the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463014
We study the interrelationship between capital flows, returns, dividend yields and world interest rates in 20 emerging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471570
understanding of currency carry trade returns, and invalidates, for example, explanations invoking return skewness and crash risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479376
additional factors, a commodity currency factor and a "world" factor based on trading volumes, fits currency basket correlations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479405
Global risk-off shocks can be highly destabilizing for financial markets and, absent an adequate policy response, may …-put framework that reduced the persistence of risk-off shocks. We also show that domestic macroeconomic and financial conditions … play a key role in benefiting from the spillovers of these policies during risk-off episodes. Countries like Japan, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479979
, inflation, the output gap, and cash flow growth. We also view risk aversion, uncertainty about inflation and output, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463390
Financial openness is often associated with higher rates of economic growth. We show that the impact of openness on factor productivity growth is more important than the effect on capital growth. This explains why the growth effects of liberalization appear to be largely permanent, not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463805
We propose a new, valuation-based measure of world equity market segmentation. While we observe decreased levels of … identify a country's political risk profile and its stock market development as two additional local segmentation factors as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463845
behind this crisis is the large demand for riskless assets from the rest of the world. In this paper we present a model to … downturn by concentrating risk onto its balance sheet. In addition to highlighting the role of capital flows in facilitating … concern with capital flows is in their speculative nature, in the U.S. the risk in capital inflows derives from the opposite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463959
In this paper we argue that the persistent global imbalances, the subprime crisis, and the volatile oil and asset prices that followed it, are tightly interconnected. They all stem from a global environment where sound and liquid financial assets are in scarce supply
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464126