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The equity variance risk premium is the expected compensation earned for selling variance risk in equity markets. The variance risk premium is positive and shows moderate persistence. High variance risk premiums coincide with the left tail of the consumption growth distribution shifting down....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481691
At a time of historic challenges to the viability of the Eurozone, we assess the contribution of the EU and the Euro to equity market integration in Europe. We use a simple and essentially model free measure of bilateral market segmentation: two countries are segmented if there is a wide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462074
In this paper we develop an empirical model of exchange rates in a target zone. The model is general enough to nest most theoretical and empirical models in the existing literature. We find evidence of two types of jumps in exchange rates. Realignment jumps are those that are associated with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473419
We study the interrelationship between capital flows, returns, dividend yields and world interest rates in 20 emerging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471570
We distinguish between "good" and "bad" carry trades constructed from G-10 currencies. The good trades exhibit higher Sharpe ratios and sometimes positive return skewness, in contrast to the bad trades that have both substantially lower Sharpe ratios and highly negative return skewness....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479376
additional factors, a commodity currency factor and a "world" factor based on trading volumes, fits currency basket correlations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479405
We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovements and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We identify the economic factors employing a semi-structural regime-switching model for state variables such as interest rates, inflation, the output gap, and cash flow growth. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463390
Financial openness is often associated with higher rates of economic growth. We show that the impact of openness on factor productivity growth is more important than the effect on capital growth. This explains why the growth effects of liberalization appear to be largely permanent, not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463805
We propose a new, valuation-based measure of world equity market segmentation. While we observe decreased levels of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463845
between its "exogenous" global PE ratio and the world market PE ratio should predict relative growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467697