Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 134
Cover Image
Economic Uncertainty Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Altig, David - 2020
We consider several economic uncertainty indicators for the US and UK before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: implied stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic policy uncertainty, twitter chatter about economic uncertainty, subjective uncertainty about future business growth, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481613
Cover Image
COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty
Baker, Scott R. - 2020
Assessing the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is essential for policymakers, but challenging because the crisis has unfolded with extreme speed. We identify three indicators - stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic uncertainty, and subjective uncertainty in business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481939
Cover Image
The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks
Bloom, Nicholas - 2007
Uncertainty appears to jump up after major shocks like the Cuban Missile crisis, the assassination of JFK, the OPEC I oil-price shock and the 9/11 terrorist attack. This paper offers a structural framework to analyze the impact of these uncertainty shocks. I build a model with a time varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465265
Cover Image
Real Versus Pseudo-International Systemic Risk : Some Lessons from History
Bordo, Michael D. - 1995
This paper considers the meaning of domestic and international systemic risk. It examines scenarios that have been … adduced as creating systemic risk both within countries and among them. It distinguishes between the concepts of real and … pseudo-systemic risk. We examine the history of episodes commonly viewed either as financial crises or as evidencing systemic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473496
Cover Image
Fluctuations in Uncertainty
Bloom, Nicholas - 2013
This review article tries to answer four questions: (i) what are the stylized facts about uncertainty over time; (ii) why does uncertainty vary; (iii) do fluctuations in uncertainty matter; and (iv) did higher uncertainty worsen the Great Recession of 2007-2009? On the first question both macro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458949
Cover Image
Does Uncertainty Reduce Growth? Using Disasters as Natural Experiments
Baker, Scott R. - 2013
A growing body of evidence suggests that uncertainty is counter cyclical, rising sharply in recessions and falling in booms. But what is the causal relationship between uncertainty and growth? To identify this we construct cross country panel data on stock market levels and volatility as proxies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459187
Cover Image
What is the Risk of European Sovereign Debt Defaults? Fiscal Space, CDS Spreads and Market Pricing of Risk
Aizenman, Joshua - 2011
We estimate the pricing of sovereign risk for sixty countries based on fiscal space (debt/tax; deficits/tax) and other … and economically important determinants of market-based sovereign risk. Although the explanatory power of fiscal space … emergence of TED spread as a key pricing factor. However, risk-pricing of the South-West Eurozone Periphery countries is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461251
Cover Image
Measuring Real Economic Effects of Bailouts : Historical Perspectives on How Countries in Financial Distress Have Fared With and Without Bailouts
Bordo, Michael D. - 2000
In this paper we first trace the changing nature of banking, currency and debt crises from the last century to the present. Each type of crisis has transmogrified in the presence of official intervention and the creation of a safety net. A similar pattern is observed for international rescue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471060
Cover Image
Fiscal Stimulus and Commercial Bank Lending Under COVID-19
Aizenman, Joshua; Jinjarak, Yothin; Spiegel, Mark - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
We investigate the implications of extra-normal government spending under the COVID-19 pandemic for commercial bank lending growth between 2019Q4 and 2020Q4 in a large sample of over 3000 banks from 71 countries. We control for pre-pandemic structural factors, bank characteristics and government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172181
Cover Image
When Is Quality of Financial System a Source of Comparative Advantage?
Ju, Jiandong - 2008
Does finance follow the real economy, or the other way around? This paper unites the two competing schools of thought in a general equilibrium framework. Our key result is that there are threshold effects defined by a set of deep institutional parameters (cost of financial intermediation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464662