We create a newspaper-based Equity Market Volatility (EMV) tracker that moves with the VIX and with the realized … volatility of returns on the S&P 500. Parsing the underlying text, we find that 72 percent of EMV articles discuss the … Macroeconomic Outlook, and 44 percent discuss Commodity Markets. Policy news is another major source of volatility: 35 percent of …

market performance in the preceding three months. This pattern strengthens in the postwar period. Third, market volatility is … volatility and other controls. Fourth, greater clarity as to jump reason also foreshadows lower volatility. Clarity in this sense …

find that policy uncertainty raises stock price volatility and reduces investment and employment in policy …

data on stock market levels and volatility as proxies for the first and second moments of business conditions. We then use …