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This paper considers the meaning of domestic and international systemic risk. It examines scenarios that have been … adduced as creating systemic risk both within countries and among them. It distinguishes between the concepts of real and … pseudo-systemic risk. We examine the history of episodes commonly viewed either as financial crises or as evidencing systemic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473496
We estimate the pricing of sovereign risk for sixty countries based on fiscal space (debt/tax; deficits/tax) and other … and economically important determinants of market-based sovereign risk. Although the explanatory power of fiscal space … emergence of TED spread as a key pricing factor. However, risk-pricing of the South-West Eurozone Periphery countries is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461251
In this paper we first trace the changing nature of banking, currency and debt crises from the last century to the present. Each type of crisis has transmogrified in the presence of official intervention and the creation of a safety net. A similar pattern is observed for international rescue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471060
We investigate the implications of extra-normal government spending under the COVID-19 pandemic for commercial bank lending growth between 2019Q4 and 2020Q4 in a large sample of over 3000 banks from 71 countries. We control for pre-pandemic structural factors, bank characteristics and government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172181
Quality of public institutions has been recognized as a crucial determinant of macroeconomic outcomes. We propose that a country's intrinsic level of openness (due to population size, geography, or exogenous trade opportunities) affects its incentives in investing in better institutions. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453661
Does finance follow the real economy, or the other way around? This paper unites the two competing schools of thought in a general equilibrium framework. Our key result is that there are threshold effects defined by a set of deep institutional parameters (cost of financial intermediation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464662
the world than many developing countries. A noteworthy feature of this theory is that financial and property rights …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465505
Disparity between control and ownership rights gives rise to the risk of tunneling by the controlling shareholder, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464925
announcements, rather than traditional determinants like fiscal space and systematic risk, drove CDS adjustment over this period … mitigate the short-run fear of the worst economic outcomes, temporarily pushing away concerns over fiscal risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481646
forthcoming corporate bond backstop facilities have capped risk premia at levels 100 basis points above non-recession averages …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482316