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The Imbalances of the Bretton Woods System 1965 to 1973 : U.S. Inflation, The Elephant in the Room

Bordo, Michael D. - 2018

This paper argues that the key deep underlying fundamental for the growing international imbalances leading to the collapse of the Bretton Woods system between 1971 and 1973 was rising U.S. inflation since 1965. It was driven in turn by expansionary fiscal and monetary policies--the elephant in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481056

How the New Fed Municipal Bond Facility Capped Muni-Treasury Yield Spreads in the Covid-19 Recession

Bordo, Michael D.; Duca, John V. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

For over two centuries, the municipal bond market has been a source of systemic risk, which returned early in the Covid-19 downturn when borrowing from securities markets became costly for many private and public entities, and some found it difficult to borrow at all. Indeed, just before the Fed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482653

U.S. Foreign-Exchange-Market Intervention and the Early Dollar Float : 1973 - 1981

Bordo, Michael D. - 2010

The dollar's depreciation during the early floating rate period, 1973 - 1981, was a symptom of the Great Inflation. In that environment, sterilized foreign exchange interventions were ineffective in halting the dollar's decline, but showed a limited ability to smooth dollar movements. Only after...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462009

U.S. Foreign-Exchange-Market Intervention during the Volcker-Greenspan Era

Bordo, Michael D. - 2010

The Federal Reserve abandoned foreign-exchange-market intervention because it conflicted with the System's commitment to price stability. By the early 1980s, economists generally concluded that, absent a portfolio-balance channel, sterilized foreign-exchange-market intervention did not provide...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462311

Monetary Policy and Asset Prices : A Look Back at Past U.S. Stock Market Booms

Bordo, Michael D. - 2004

This paper examines the economic environments in which past U.S. stock market booms occurred as a first step toward understanding how asset price booms come about and whether monetary policy should be used to defuse booms. We identify several episodes of sustained rapid rise in equity prices in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467986

Money Matters : Broad Divisia Money and the Recovery of Nominal GDP from the COVID-19 Recession

Bordo, Michael D.; Duca, John V. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

The rise of inflation in 2021 and 2022 surprised many macroeconomists who ignored the earlier surge in money growth because past instability in the demand for simple-sum monetary aggregates had made these aggregates unreliable indicators. We find that the demand for more theoretically-based...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322692

Federal Reserve Structure and the Production of Monetary Policy Ideas

Bordo, Michael D.; Prescott, Edward Simpson - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

We evaluate the decentralized structure of the Federal Reserve System as a mechanism for generating and processing new ideas on monetary policy over the 1960 - 2000 period. We document the introduction of monetarism, rational expectations, credibility, transparency, and other monetary policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437046

The Inter-War Gold Exchange Standard : Credibility and Monetary Independence

Bordo, Michael D. - 2001

In this paper we analyze the operation of the inter-war gold exchange standard to see if the evident credibility of the system conferred on participating central banks the ability to pursue independent monetary policies. To answer this question we econometrically analyze two key parity, or...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470290

Violations of the `Rules of the Game' and the Credibility of the Classical Gold Standard, 1880-1914

Bordo, Michael D. - 1997

This paper examines the recently noted finding that the Classical gold standard represented a credible, well-behaved target zone system from the perspective of the well-documented failure of countries to play by the rules of the game in the classical period. In particular, we test an hypothesis...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472699

Rules, Discretion, and Central Bank Independence : The German Experience 1880-1989

Eschweiler, Bernhard - 1993

best. Monetary policy in Germany during the past one hundred years provides an excellent case to assess the empirical … authority in 1876, Germany has participated in four monetary regimes: the pre-war gold standard, the inter-war gold standard … in Germany was always geared toward maintaining price stability with the exception of the two world war periods. Germany …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474395