Showing 1 - 10 of 31
the U.S. would experience a sudden stop of capital flows, which would unavoidably drag the world economy into a deep … instead that the root imbalance was of a different kind: The entire world had an insatiable demand for safe debt instruments … of exposing the economy to a systemic panic. This structural problem can be alleviated if governments around the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463014
Exchange rates have been at the center of economic debates in emerging economies. Issues related to the feasibility of flexible exchange rates, the relationship between exchange rate volatility and growth, and the role of exchange rate overvaluation in recent crises, among other, have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471561
This paper deals with COVID and macroprudential regulations in emerging markets. I document the build-up of a sturdy macroprudential structure during 2009-2019, and the relaxation of regulations in 2020-2021, as part of the effort to deal with the sanitary emergency. I show that in every...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660118
Global risk-off shocks can be highly destabilizing for financial markets and, absent an adequate policy response, may …-put framework that reduced the persistence of risk-off shocks. We also show that domestic macroeconomic and financial conditions … play a key role in benefiting from the spillovers of these policies during risk-off episodes. Countries like Japan, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479979
In this paper I discuss the ways in which populist experiments have evolved historically. Populists are charismatic leaders that use a fiery rhetoric to pitch the interests of "the people" against those of banks, large firms, multinational companies, the IMF, and immigrants. Populists implement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480278
behind this crisis is the large demand for riskless assets from the rest of the world. In this paper we present a model to … downturn by concentrating risk onto its balance sheet. In addition to highlighting the role of capital flows in facilitating … concern with capital flows is in their speculative nature, in the U.S. the risk in capital inflows derives from the opposite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463959
In this paper we argue that the persistent global imbalances, the subprime crisis, and the volatile oil and asset prices that followed it, are tightly interconnected. They all stem from a global environment where sound and liquid financial assets are in scarce supply
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464126
I use a large cross country data set and panel probit analysis to investigate the way in which the interaction between trade and financial openness affect the probability of external crises. This analysis is related to debate on the adequate sequencing of reform. I also investigate the role...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464263
The world has a shortage of financial assets. Asset supply is having a hard time keeping up with the global demand for … and deflationary episodes in parts of the world, all fall into place once one adopts this asset shortage perspective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465908
In this paper I use a large multi-country data set to analyze the determinants of abrupt and large "current account reversals." The results from a variance-component probit model indicate that the probability of experiencing a major current account reversal is positively affected by larger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466540