Showing 1 - 10 of 40
the U.S. would experience a sudden stop of capital flows, which would unavoidably drag the world economy into a deep … instead that the root imbalance was of a different kind: The entire world had an insatiable demand for safe debt instruments … of exposing the economy to a systemic panic. This structural problem can be alleviated if governments around the world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463014
We document a new international stylized fact describing the relationship between real exchange rates and external asset holdings. Economists have long argued that the real exchange rate is associated with the net international investment position, appreciating as external wealth increases. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455340
After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty of identifying multipliers from observational data. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459247
Why did per capita income divergence occur so dramatically during the 19th Century, rather than at the outset of the Industrial Revolution? How were some countries able to reverse this trend during the globalization of the late 20th Century? To answer these questions, this paper develops a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479692
Are financial crises a negative shock to demand or a negative shock to supply? This is a fundamental question for both macroeconomics researchers and those involved in real-time policymaking, and in both cases the question has become much more urgent in the aftermath of the recent financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479740
Global risk-off shocks can be highly destabilizing for financial markets and, absent an adequate policy response, may …-put framework that reduced the persistence of risk-off shocks. We also show that domestic macroeconomic and financial conditions … play a key role in benefiting from the spillovers of these policies during risk-off episodes. Countries like Japan, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479979
Do external imbalances increase the risk of financial crises? In this paper, we study the experience of 14 developed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462090
The crisis of the advanced economies in 2008-09 has focused new attention on money and credit fluctuations, financial crises, and policy responses. We study the behavior of money, credit, and macroeconomic indicators over the long run based on a new historical dataset for 14 countries over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463137
In this paper we connect the events of the last twelve months, "The Panic of 2008" as it has been called, to the demand for international reserves. In previous work, we have shown that international reserve demand can be rationalized by a central bank's desire to backstop the broad money supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463821
behind this crisis is the large demand for riskless assets from the rest of the world. In this paper we present a model to … downturn by concentrating risk onto its balance sheet. In addition to highlighting the role of capital flows in facilitating … concern with capital flows is in their speculative nature, in the U.S. the risk in capital inflows derives from the opposite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463959