Showing 1 - 10 of 26
The possibility that the euro area might break up was being raised even before the single currency existed. These … scenarios were then lent new life five or six years on, when appreciation of the euro and problems of slow growth in various … unlikely, I argue here, that one or more members of the euro area will leave in the next ten years; total disintegration of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465257
This paper documents the evidence for a productivity based model of the dollar/euro real exchange rate over the 1985 … the Johansen (1988) and Stock-Watson (1993) procedures. We find that each percentage point in the US-Euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469891
nineties and the puzzling decline of the euro during its virtual existence to changes in the demand for deutschmarks in eastern … the dollar and the weakness of the euro reflect the prosperity of the US and the weakness of the European economy on both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470368
Using newly assembled data on foreign exchange market intervention, we construct a daily index of exchange market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696397
In the UK's 2016 referendum on EU membership, young voters were more likely than their elders to vote Remain. Applying new methods to a half century of data, we show that this pattern reflects both ageing and cohort effects. Although voters become more Eurosceptical as they age, recent cohorts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480870
In recent years, there has been renewed interest in the yield curve (or alternatively, the term premium) as a predictor of future economic activity. In this paper, we re-examine the evidence for this predictor, both for the United States, as well as European countries. We examine the sensitivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462258
Three large current account imbalances -- one deficit (the United States) and two surpluses (Japan and the Euro area … the Euro area, less than half a percentage point of its current account surplus is found to require an adjustment via real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466819
characteristics of these differing series are examined, including the exchange rates for the U.S., the euro area and several East …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467158
As a result of the Balassa effect relative prices change rapidly between and within the euro countries. Thus it is … no country face a deflation. This minimum aggeragate inflation rate is 0.94% in the euro-11 countries and 1.13% in an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470644
This paper reconsiders the 1992-3 crisis in the European Monetary System in light of its emerging market successors … market crisis as much as they do the moderate effects of the typical industrial-country event of its kind to take place in an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470695