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Testing Uncovered Interest Parity at Short and Long Horizons during the Post-Bretton Woods Era

Chinn, Menzie D. - 2005

The hypothesis that interest rate differentials are unbiased predictors of future exchange rate movements has been almost universally rejected in empirical studies. In contrast to previous studies, which have used short-horizon data, we test this hypothesis using interest rates on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467610

A Decomposition of Global Linkages in Financial Markets Over Time

Forbes, Kristin J. - 2003

This paper tests if real and financial linkages between countries can explain why movements in the world's largest … between the world's 5 largest economies and about 40 other markets to decompose the cross-country factor loadings into: direct … to be the most important determinant of how movements in the world's largest markets affect financial markets around the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469145

New Methods for Estimating Labor Supply Functions : A Survey

Heckman, James J. - 1982

This paper surveys new methods for estimatifg labor supply functions. A unified framework of analysis is presented. All recent models of labor supply are special cases of a general index function model developed for the analysis o dummy endogenous variables

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478253

Testing the Correlated Random Coefficient Model

Heckman, James J. - 2009

The recent literature on instrumental variables (IV) features models in which agents sort into treatment status on the basis of gains from treatment as well as on baseline-pretreatment levels. Components of the gains known to the agents and acted on by them may not be known by the observing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463186

Fifty Years of Mincer Earnings Regressions

Heckman, James J. - 2003

option values, the internal rate of return - a cornerstone of classical human capital theory - is not a useful guide to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468966

The Current Account and the Real Exchange Rate : A Structural VAR Analysis of Major Currencies

Lee, Jaewoo - 1998

A sticky-price model is used to motivate a structural VAR analysis of the current account and the real exchange rate for seven major industrialized countries (the US, Canada, the UK, Japan, Germany, France and Italy). The analysis is distinguished from previous work in that it adopts minimal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472307

Life Cycle Schooling and Dynamic Selection Bias : Models and Evidence for Five Cohorts

Cameron, Stephen V. - 1998

This paper examines an empirical regularity found in many societies: that family influences on the probability of transiting from one grade level to the next diminish at higher levels of education. We examine the statistical model used to establish the empirical regularity and the intuitive...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472433

Monetary Policy in Japan, Germany and the United States : Does One Size Fit All?

Chinn, Menzie D. - 1997

We study the post-war evidence for Japan to see if the same specification for both the economy and the monetary policy rule is useful for understanding Japan's economy and monetary policy. A recurrent theme in the literature on Japanese monetary policy is that there are significant differences...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472722

The Non-Market Benefits of Education and Ability

Heckman, James J. - 2017

This paper analyzes the non-market benefits of education and ability. Using a dynamic model of educational choice we estimate returns to education that account for selection bias and sorting on gains. We investigate a range of non-market outcomes including incarceration, mental health, voter...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453818

Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models by Maximum Likelihood and the Simulated Method of Moments

Eisenhauer, Phillipp - 2014

We compare the performance of maximum likelihood (ML) and simulated method of moments (SMM) estimation for dynamic discrete choice models. We construct and estimate a simplified dynamic structural model of education that captures some basic features of educational choices in the United States in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458043