Showing 1 - 10 of 93
This paper analyzes the quality of VAR-based procedures for estimating the response of the economy to a shock. We focus … question that has attracted a great deal of attention in the literature: How do hours worked respond to an identified shock? In … all of our examples, as long as the variance in hours worked due to a given shock is above the remarkably low number of 1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466312
This paper investigates whether it is possible to entertain simultaneously two attractive views about US GDP. The first is that long term growth in US GDP is attributable to an empirically plausible specification of random technical progress. The second is that deviations of GDP from a fitted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469795
We compute the forecastable changes in output, consumption, and hours implied by a VAR that includes the growth rate of private value added, the share of output that is consumed, and the detrended level of private hours. We show that the size of the forecastable changes in output greatly exceeds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474286
model, a positive money supply shock generates a large drop in the interest rate comparable in magnitude to what we find in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474841
We construct a dynamic general equilibrium model in which the typical industry colludes by threatening to punish deviations from an implicitly agreed upon pricing path. We argue that models of this type explain better than do competitive models the way in which the economy responds to aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475831
Using 'business cycle accounting' (BCA), Chari, Kehoe and McGrattan (2006) (CKM) conclude that models of financial frictions which create a wedge in the intertemporal Euler equation are not promising avenues for modeling business cycle dynamics. There are two reasons that this conclusion is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466014
This paper develops a welfare-based model of monetary policy in an open economy. We focus on the extent to which monetary policy should be employed in maintaining the exchange rate. The traditional approach maintains that exchange rate flexibility is desirable in the presence of real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471102
Recent macroeconomic experience has drawn attention to the importance of interdependence among countries through financial markets and institutions, independently of traditional trade linkages. This paper develops a model of the international transmission of shocks due to interdependent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462429
an expansionary shock to monetary policy. Of these features, the most important are staggered wage contracts of average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470317
This paper reviews recent research that grapples with the question: What happens after an exogenous shock to monetary … exogenous shock to monetary policy. Nevertheless, there is considerable agreement about the qualitative effects of a monetary … policy shock in the sense that inference is robust across a large subset of the identification schemes that have been …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472408