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Households' and firms' subjective inflation expectations play a central role in macroeconomic and intertemporal microeconomic models. We discuss how subjective inflation expectations are measured, the patterns they display, their determinants, and how they shape households' and firms' economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210074
As the pandemic spread across the U.S., disagreement among U.S. households about inflation expectations surged along with the mean perceived and expected level of inflation. Simultaneously, the inflation experienced by households became more dispersed. Using matched micro data on spending of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814415
. Information treatments about current and next year's interest rates have a strong effect on household expectations but treatments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479302
We study how different forms of communication influence the inflation expectations of individuals in a randomized controlled trial. We first solicit individuals' inflation expectations in the Nielsen Homescan panel and then provide eight different forms of information regarding inflation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479438
We implement a survey of Dutch households in which random subsets of respondents receive information about inflation. The resulting exogenously generated variation in inflation expectations is used to assess how expectations affect subsequent monthly consumption decisions relative to those in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480052
Using a large-scale survey of U.S. households during the Covid-19 pandemic, we study how new information about fiscal and monetary policy responses to the crisis affects households' expectations. We provide random subsets of participants in the Nielsen Homescan panel with different combinations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481579
primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate this higher inflation. Are household inflation expectations sensitive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482700
Despite its importance for the analysis of life-cycle behavior, stock ownership by households is poorly understood. Among other approaches to the investigation of this puzzle, recent research has elicited the expectations of stock market returns by individuals. This paper reports findings from a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462193
In this paper we present evidence from high-frequency data collections dedicated to tracking the effects of the financial crisis and great recession on American households. These data come from surveys that we conducted in the American Life Panel - an Internet survey run by RAND Labor and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462249
luxury goods. Moreover, uncertainty reduces household propensity to invest in mutual funds. These results support the notion … that macroeconomic uncertainty can impact household decisions and have large negative effects on economic outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496179