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Economic Uncertainty Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Altig, David - 2020
We consider several economic uncertainty indicators for the US and UK before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: implied stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic policy uncertainty, twitter chatter about economic uncertainty, subjective uncertainty about future business growth, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481613
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COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty
Baker, Scott R. - 2020
Assessing the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is essential for policymakers, but challenging because the crisis has unfolded with extreme speed. We identify three indicators - stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic uncertainty, and subjective uncertainty in business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481939
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Policy Uncertainty In Japan
Arbatli, Elif C. - 2017
We develop new economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices for Japan from January 1987 onwards building on the approach of Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016). Each index reflects the frequency of newspaper articles that contain certain terms pertaining to the economy, policy matters and uncertainty....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455270
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Rising Policy Uncertainty
Davis, Steven J. - 2019
-based measures. Examples from countries around the world illustrate the role of political and policy developments as drivers of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480187
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An Index of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty
Davis, Steven J. - 2016
Building on Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016), I construct a monthly index of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty (GEPU) from January 1997. The GEPU Index is a GDP-weighted average of national EPU indices for 16 countries that account for two-thirds of global output. Each national EPU index reflects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455940
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Adapting to Flood Risk : Evidence from a Panel of Global Cities
Gandhi, Sahil; Kahn, Matthew E.; Kochhar, Rajat; Lall, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
Urban flooding poses danger to people and places. People can adapt to this risk by moving to safer areas or by … investing in private self-protection. Places can offset some of the risk through urban planning and infrastructure investment …. By constructing a global city data set that covers the years 2012 to 2018, we test several flood risk adaptation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334356
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Long-Term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change : A Cross-Country Analysis
Kahn, Matthew E. - 2019
world real GDP per capita by 7.22 percent by 2100. On the other hand, abiding by the Paris Agreement, thereby limiting the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480113
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The Economic Effects of Private Equity Buyouts
Davis, Steven J. - 2019
We examine thousands of U.S. private equity (PE) buyouts from 1980 to 2013, a period that saw huge swings in credit market tightness and GDP growth. Our results show striking, systematic differences in the real-side effects of PE buyouts, depending on buyout type and external conditions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480316
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Precaution Versus Mercantilism : Reserve Accumulation, Capital Controls, and the Real Exchange Rate
Choi, Woo Jin - 2017
We document a new international stylized fact describing the relationship between real exchange rates and external asset holdings. Economists have long argued that the real exchange rate is associated with the net international investment position, appreciating as external wealth increases. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455340
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The Time for Austerity : Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy
Jordà, Òscar - 2013
After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty of identifying multipliers from observational data. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459247