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Economic Uncertainty Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Altig, David - 2020

We consider several economic uncertainty indicators for the US and UK before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: implied stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic policy uncertainty, twitter chatter about economic uncertainty, subjective uncertainty about future business growth, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481613

COVID-Induced Economic Uncertainty

Baker, Scott R. - 2020

Assessing the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is essential for policymakers, but challenging because the crisis has unfolded with extreme speed. We identify three indicators - stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic uncertainty, and subjective uncertainty in business...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481939

Policy Uncertainty In Japan

Arbatli, Elif C. - 2017

We develop new economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices for Japan from January 1987 onwards building on the approach of Baker, Bloom and Davis (2016). Each index reflects the frequency of newspaper articles that contain certain terms pertaining to the economy, policy matters and uncertainty....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455270

The Economic Effects of Private Equity Buyouts

Davis, Steven J. - 2019

We examine thousands of U.S. private equity (PE) buyouts from 1980 to 2013, a period that saw huge swings in credit market tightness and GDP growth. Our results show striking, systematic differences in the real-side effects of PE buyouts, depending on buyout type and external conditions....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480316

Precaution Versus Mercantilism : Reserve Accumulation, Capital Controls, and the Real Exchange Rate

Choi, Woo Jin - 2017

We document a new international stylized fact describing the relationship between real exchange rates and external asset holdings. Economists have long argued that the real exchange rate is associated with the net international investment position, appreciating as external wealth increases. This...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455340

The Time for Austerity : Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy

Jordà, Òscar - 2013

After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty of identifying multipliers from observational data. This paper...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459247

Economic Recovery from the Argentine Great Depression : Institutions, Expectations, and the Change of Macroeconomic Regime

Paolera, Gerardo della - 2000

This work explores how Argentina overcame the Great Depression and asks whether active macroeconomic interventions made any contribution to the recovery. In particular, we study Argentine macroeconomic policy as it deviated from gold-standard orthodoxy after the final suspension of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471138

The Long-Run Effects of Monetary Policy

Jordà, Òscar - 2020

Is the effect of monetary policy on the productive capacity of the economy long lived? Yes, in fact we find such impacts are significant and last for over a decade based on: (1) merged data from two new international historical databases; (2) identification of exogenous monetary policy using the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479190

Firm-Level Risk Exposures and Stock Returns in the Wake of COVID-19

Davis, Steven J. - 2020

Firm-level stock returns differ enormously in reaction to COVID-19 news. We characterize these reactions using the Risk … characterizations of risk exposures and outperforming the dictionary approach in goodness-of-fit. By integrating elements of both … approaches, we uncover new risk factors and sharpen our explanations for firm-level returns. To illustrate the broader utility of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481171

Longer-run Economic Consequences of Pandemics

Jordà, Òscar - 2020

What are the medium- to long-term effects of pandemics? How do they differ from other economic disasters? We study major pandemics using the rates of return on assets stretching back to the 14th century. Significant macroeconomic after-effects of pandemics persist for about decades, with real...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481892