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Trade, Technology, and the Great Divergence

O'Rourke, Kevin Hjortshøj - 2019

Why did per capita income divergence occur so dramatically during the 19th Century, rather than at the outset of the Industrial Revolution? How were some countries able to reverse this trend during the globalization of the late 20th Century? To answer these questions, this paper develops a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479692

After the Panic : Are Financial Crises Demand or Supply Shocks? Evidence from International Trade

Benguria, Felipe - 2019

Are financial crises a negative shock to demand or a negative shock to supply? This is a fundamental question for both macroeconomics researchers and those involved in real-time policymaking, and in both cases the question has become much more urgent in the aftermath of the recent financial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479740

Elections, Political Polarization, and Economic Uncertainty

Baker, Scott R. - 2020

We examine patterns of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) around national elections in 23 countries. Uncertainty shows a clear tendency to rise in the months leading up to elections. Average EPU values are 13% higher in the month of and the month prior to an election than in other months of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482181

Stock Prices, Lockdowns, and Economic Activity in the Time of Coronavirus

Davis, Steven J.; Liu, Dingqian; Sheng, Xuguang - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

Stock prices and workplace mobility trace out striking clockwise paths in daily data from mid-February to late May 2020. Global stock prices fell 30 percent from 17 February to 12 March, before mobility declined. Over the next 11 days, stocks fell another 10 percentage points as mobility dropped...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482538

Global Financial Cycles and Risk Premiums

Jordà, Òscar - 2018

in the comovement of global equity markets is particularly notable. We demonstrate that fluctuations in risk premiums …, and not risk-free rates and dividends, account for a large part of the observed equity price synchronization after 1990 …. We also show that U.S. monetary policy has come to play an important role as a source of fluctuations in risk appetite …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453043

Credit Booms Gone Bust : Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles and Financial Crises, 1870-2008

Schularick, Moritz - 2009

The crisis of the advanced economies in 2008-09 has focused new attention on money and credit fluctuations, financial crises, and policy responses. We study the behavior of money, credit, and macroeconomic indicators over the long run based on a new historical dataset for 14 countries over the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463137

Financial Instability, Reserves, and Central Bank Swap Lines in the Panic of 2008

Obstfeld, Maurice - 2009

In this paper we connect the events of the last twelve months, "The Panic of 2008" as it has been called, to the demand for international reserves. In previous work, we have shown that international reserve demand can be rationalized by a central bank's desire to backstop the broad money supply...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463821

Stuck on Gold : Real Exchange Rate Volatility and the Rise and Fall of the Gold Standard

Chernyshoff, Natalia - 2005

absorption in a world of real shocks and nominal stickiness. A simple model shows how a lack of flexibility can be discerned in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466876

Collateral Damage : Trade Disruption and the Economic Impact of War

Glick, Reuven - 2005

of World War I and World War II …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467113

Productivity, Tradability, and the Long-Run Price Puzzle

Bergin, Paul - 2004

Long-run cross-country price data exhibit a puzzle. Today, richer countries exhibit higher price levels than poorer countries, a stylized fact usually attributed to the Balassa- Samuelson' effect. But looking back fifty years, or more, this effect virtually disappears from the data. What is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468124