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This paper uses three models of a small open economy to analyze the effects of terms of trade and exchange rate changes … factors model is developed and used to investigate how an exogenous worsening of the intern.ationa1 terms of trade affect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476959
contemplated a trade liberalization process that would create a low and uniform tariff structure. In this paper I review the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475686
that for most nations the adjustment has been highly recessive. Next, the potential role of trade reforms in securing the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476564
of volatility through time. We are particularly interested in understanding whether periods of high volatility spillover … across countries. Our analysis relies both on univariate and bivariate switching volatility models. Our results indicate that … high-volatility episodes are, in general, short-lived, lasting from two to seven weeks. We find some weak evidence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470937
During the last three years New Zealand has faced increasingly large external imbalances. The current account deficit has increased from 4.3% of GDP in 2003 to almost 9.0% of GDP in 2005. During the same period the country's net international investment position (NIIP) went from a negative level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466041
controls. And (c), we find that a tightening of capital controls increases the unconditional volatility of the exchange rate …, but makes this volatility less sensitive to external shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467245
whether dollarized countries have historically exhibited faster growth and lower volatility than countries with a domestic … statistically different in dollarized and in non-dollarized ones. We also find that volatility has been significantly higher in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468878
in emerging countries tend to have shorter duration and larger amplitude and volatility than in developed countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468881
volatility through time. We are particularly interested in understanding whether periods of high volatility are correlated across … countries. The analysis uses both on univariate and bivariate switching volatility models. Our results do not rely on the … correlation coefficients, but on the co-dependence of volatility regimes. The results indicate that high-volatility episodes are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470212
Current debates on globalization have tended to focus on financial market volatility and contagion. In fact, many … whether there has been volatility contagion from Mexico to the two South American nations. The results obtained from the … estimation of augmented GARCH equations indicate, quite strongly, that while there has been volatility contagion from Mexico to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472057