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The possibility that the euro area might break up was being raised even before the single currency existed. These … scenarios were then lent new life five or six years on, when appreciation of the euro and problems of slow growth in various … unlikely, I argue here, that one or more members of the euro area will leave in the next ten years; total disintegration of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465257
nineties and the puzzling decline of the euro during its virtual existence to changes in the demand for deutschmarks in eastern … the dollar and the weakness of the euro reflect the prosperity of the US and the weakness of the European economy on both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470368
, which is closer to European than the US is in its labor market and fiscal institutions. Europe's (and to some extent Canada … an alternative strategy based on a relaxed stability pact, further strictures against central EU borrowing, labor market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471641
Using newly assembled data on foreign exchange market intervention, we construct a daily index of exchange market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012696397
In this paper we document the impact of immigration at the regional level on Europeans' political preferences as expressed by voting behavior in parliamentary or presidential elections between 2007 and 2016. We combine individual data on party voting with a classification of each party's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480728
We analyze the role of labor mobility in cushioning labor demand shocks in the Euro Area. We find that foreign born … the regional level. Additionally, we compare Euro Area mobility to that of another currency union, the US. We find that … the population to employment elasticity estimated for foreign-born persons is similar in the Euro Area and the US, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480742
In the UK's 2016 referendum on EU membership, young voters were more likely than their elders to vote Remain. Applying new methods to a half century of data, we show that this pattern reflects both ageing and cohort effects. Although voters become more Eurosceptical as they age, recent cohorts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480870
As a result of the Balassa effect relative prices change rapidly between and within the euro countries. Thus it is … no country face a deflation. This minimum aggeragate inflation rate is 0.94% in the euro-11 countries and 1.13% in an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470644
This paper reconsiders the 1992-3 crisis in the European Monetary System in light of its emerging market successors … market crisis as much as they do the moderate effects of the typical industrial-country event of its kind to take place in an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470695
banks, because the Euro will have to be bought by these banks in exchange for assets which have been accumulated in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472742