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In this paper we report the results of the estimation of a rich dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model of the U.S. economy with both stochastic volatility and parameter drifting in the Taylor rule. We use the results of this estimation to examine the recent monetary history of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462722
This paper examines the case for rules rather than discretion in the conduct of monetary policy, from both historical and analytic perspectives. The paper starts with the rules of the game under the gold standard. These rules were ill-defined and not adhered to; active discretionary policy was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476548
This paper examines how supply-side policies may play a role in fighting a low aggregate demand that traps an economy at the zero lower bound (ZLB) of nominal interest rates. Future increases in productivity or reductions in mark-ups triggered by supply-side policies generate a wealth effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461115
We solve a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model in which the representative household has Epstein and Zin recursive preferences. The parameters governing preferences and technology are estimated by means of maximum likelihood using macroeconomic data and asset prices, with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462760
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003585366
The role of a real interest rate and a credit aggregate as intermediate monetary policy targets are investigated under the assumption of rational expectations. The analysis expands a standard aggregate model to include a credit market and a market determined interest rate on bank deposits. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477509
The rate of inflation in Israel increased from 8 percent in 1965 to 300-400 percent in the first half of 1984. The inflationary process until 1977 was not qualitatively different from that in the OECD countries, but after the financial liberalization of 1977 the economy appeared to move into a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477604
The main issue discussed in the supply shock literature that followed the oil and food price shocks of the seventies … was whether to accommodate. The supply shock reduces the equilibrium level of output, and monetary policy can not affect … should be used to prevent such recessions. The paper analyzes the conditions underwhich a suppiy shock will result in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477983
We review the literature on uncertainty shocks and business cycle research. First, we motivate the study of uncertainty shocks by documenting the presence of time-variation in the volatility of macroeconomic time series. Second, we enumerate the mechanisms that researchers have postulated to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479292
particular, we find that the recovery after a negative aggregate shock is more sluggish when the economy is more leveraged …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480247