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Capitalism and Democracy in 2040 : Forecasts and Speculations

Fogel, Robert W. - 2007

While the economies of the fifteen countries that were in the European Union (EU15) in 2000 will continue to grow from now until 2040, they will not be able to match the surges in growth that will occur in South and East Asia. In 2040, the Chinese economy will reach $123 trillion, or nearly...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465470

RECONSIDERING EXPECTATIONS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH AFTER

Fogel, Robert W. - 2005

At the close of World War II, there were wide-ranging debates about the future of economic developments. Historical … the likelihood of secular stagnation; this topic continued to be debated throughout the post-World War II expansion … growth in less developed countries were contradicted when during the mid- and late-1970s, fertility rates in third world …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467560

Economic Growth, Population Theory, and Physiology : The Bearing of Long-Term Processes on the Making of Economic Policy

Fogel, Robert W. - 1994

This paper sketches a theory of the secular decline in morbidity and mortality that takes account of changes in human physiology since 1700. The synergism between technological and physiological improvements has produced a form of human evolution, much more rapid than natural selection, which is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474298