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What is the Risk of European Sovereign Debt Defaults? Fiscal Space, CDS Spreads and Market Pricing of Risk

Aizenman, Joshua - 2011

We estimate the pricing of sovereign risk for sixty countries based on fiscal space (debt/tax; deficits/tax) and other … and economically important determinants of market-based sovereign risk. Although the explanatory power of fiscal space … emergence of TED spread as a key pricing factor. However, risk-pricing of the South-West Eurozone Periphery countries is not …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461251

Fiscal Stimulus and Commercial Bank Lending Under COVID-19

Aizenman, Joshua; Jinjarak, Yothin; Spiegel, Mark - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

We investigate the implications of extra-normal government spending under the COVID-19 pandemic for commercial bank lending growth between 2019Q4 and 2020Q4 in a large sample of over 3000 banks from 71 countries. We control for pre-pandemic structural factors, bank characteristics and government...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172181

Domestic Institutions and the Bypass Effect of Financial Globalization

Ju, Jiandong - 2007

the world than many developing countries. A noteworthy feature of this theory is that financial and property rights …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465505

Natural Openness and Good Government

Wei, Shang-Jin - 2000

This paper offers a new interpretation of the connection between openness and good governance. Assuming that corruption and bad governance drive out international trade and investment more than domestic trade and investment, a naturally more open economy' as determined by its size and geography...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470985

A Two Covid-19 Years Quartile Comparison of Official with Excess Mortality : Voice and Accountability and the Impact of Vaccines

Aizenman, Joshua - 2022

We evaluate the quartile ranking of countries during the Covid-19 pandemic using both official (i.e., confirmed) and excess mortality data. Contrasting countries' rankings using these two data sources reveal sharp and systematic differences. While higher GDP per capita is associated with a worse...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938747

The Political Economy of the COVID-19 Fiscal Stimulus Packages of 2020

Aizenman, Joshua; Jinjarak, Yothin; Nguyen, Hien Thi Kim; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

Almost all countries announced fiscal support programs once COVID-19 hit. However, there was significant diversity in the magnitude and composition of these fiscal stimulus programs. These differences were determined by myriad political, financial, social, and economic factors - these factors...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660038

International Equity and Debt Flows : Composition, Crisis, and Controls

Ma, Chang - 2020

We propose a theory of endogenous composition of capital flows that highlights two asymmetries between international equity and debt financing. In our model, poor institutional quality leads to an inefficiently low share of equity financing as well as an inefficiently high volume of total...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481712

Accounting for Global COVID-19 Diffusion Patterns, January-April 2020

Jinjarak, Yothin - 2020

Key factors in modeling a pandemic and guiding policy-making include mortality rates associated with infections; the ability of government policies, medical systems, and society to adapt to the changing dynamics of a pandemic; and institutional and demographic characteristics affecting citizens'...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481768

Good-Bye Original Sin, Hello Risk On-Off, Financial Fragility, and Crises?

Aizenman, Joshua - 2020

We analyze the sovereign bond issuance data of eight major emerging markets (EMs) - Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, South Africa and Turkey from 1970 to 2018. Our analysis suggests that (i) EM local currency bonds tend to be smaller in size, shorter in maturity, or lower in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481987

A Darwinian Perspective on "Exchange Rate Undervaluation"

Du, Qingyuan - 2011

Though the real exchange rate is a key price for most economies, our understanding of its determinants is still incomplete. This paper studies the implications of status competition in the marriage market for the real exchange rate. In theory, a rise in the sex ratio (increasing relative surplus...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461869