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Countries with high debt loads are vulnerable to an adverse feedback loop in which doubts by lenders lead to higher sovereign interest rates which in turn make the debt problems more severe. We analyze the recent experience of advanced economies using both econometric methods and case studies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459364
This paper uses an asymmetric information framework to understand the causes of the recent financial crisis in Korea. It shows that the Korean data is consistent with this explanation of the crisis. It then draws on this analysis to discuss several lessons that can help guide Korean policymakers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471293
of Japan's rhetoric was not helpful in fighting deflation, and the interest rate hike in August 2000 amid deflation was a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467811
This paper brings out the special mechanism through which taxes influence bilateral FDI, when investment decisions are two-fold in the presence of fixed setup flows costs. For each pair of source-host countries, there is a set of factors determining whether aggregate FDI flows will occur at all,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466680
liquidity shocks, the liquidation price they can get will be lower when buyers know that they have more information on … expectation of future liquidity problems export relatively more FPI than FDI, and (2) this effect strengthens as the source … source countries from 1985 to 2004. Our key variable is the predicted severity of liquidity shock, as proxied by episodes of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462924
country. Based on a theoretical model, we predict that (1) source countries with higher probability of aggregate liquidity … 140 source countries from 1985 to 2004. Our key variable is the probability of an aggregate liquidity crisis, estimated … that the probability of a liquidity crisis has a strong effect on the composition of foreign equity investment. Furthermore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464879
We develop a model that captures important features of debt crises of the Brazilian type. Its applicability to Brazil lies in the fact that (1) in Brazil the macro fundamentals were sound (e.g., a primary surplus, a relatively low debt/GDP ratio, etc.); and (2) in the Brazilian case the trigger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469498
We develop a stylised model of multiple equilibria, with country risk spreads at the focus of the analysis. Fears that the country default on its debt triggers a reversal in the direction of inflows of international financial capital raise interest-rate spreads and thus the cost of servicing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469550
This paper examines the effects of fiscal policies on the evolution of real rates of interest and real exchange rates in the interdependent world economy. We construct an analytical framework suitable for a detailed examination of the various channels through which these variables are influenced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477004
In recent years the world economy has been subject to large and unsyncronized changes in fiscal policies, high and volatile real rates of tnterest, large fluctuations in real exchange rates, and significant variations in private-sector spending. This paper reviews some of the key facts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477278