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Financial Crises, Credit Booms, and External Imbalances : 140 Years of Lessons

Jordà, Òscar - 2010

Do external imbalances increase the risk of financial crises? In this paper, we study the experience of 14 developed …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462090

The Trilemma in History : Tradeoffs among Exchange Rates, Monetary Policies, and Capital Mobility

Obstfeld, Maurice - 2004

The exchange-rate regime is often seen as constrained by the monetary policy trilemma, which imposes a stark tradeoff among exchange stability, monetary independence, and capital market openness. Yet the trilemma has not gone without challenge. Some (e.g., Calvo and Reinhart 2001, 2002) argue...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468297

Monetary Sovereignty, Exchange Rates, and Capital Controls : The Trilemma in the Interwar period

Obstfeld, Maurice - 2004

disorder in the world economy. The interwar disorder often is linked to policies inconsistent with the constraint of the open … yield. This historical analytic narrative is compelling with significant ramifications for today's world, if true but …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468300

A Century of Current Account Dynamics

Taylor, Alan M. - 2002

Recent globalization trends have refocused attention on the historical evolution of international capital mobility over the long run. The issue is examined here using time-series analysis of current-account dynamics for fifteen countries since circa 1850. The inter-war period emerges as an era...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469787

Global Financial Cycles and Risk Premiums

Jordà, Òscar - 2018

in the comovement of global equity markets is particularly notable. We demonstrate that fluctuations in risk premiums …, and not risk-free rates and dividends, account for a large part of the observed equity price synchronization after 1990 …. We also show that U.S. monetary policy has come to play an important role as a source of fluctuations in risk appetite …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453043

External Imbalances and Financial Crises

Taylor, Alan M. - 2012

In broad perspective, there have been essentially two competing views of the global financial crisis, albeit there are some complementarities among them. One view looks across the border: it mainly blames external imbalances, the large-scale mix of unprecedented pattern current account deficits...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460056