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What are the medium- to long-term effects of pandemics? How do they differ from other economic disasters? We study major pandemics using the rates of return on assets stretching back to the 14th century. Significant macroeconomic after-effects of pandemics persist for about decades, with real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481892
Do external imbalances increase the risk of financial crises? In this paper, we study the experience of 14 developed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462090
Recent globalization trends have refocused attention on the historical evolution of international capital mobility over the long run. The issue is examined here using time-series analysis of current-account dynamics for fifteen countries since circa 1850. The inter-war period emerges as an era...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469787
Between 1870 and 1913, economic convergence among present OECD members (or even a wider sample of countries) was dramatic, about as dramatic as it has been over the past century and a half. The convergence can be documented in GDP per worker-hour, GDP per capita and in real wages. What were the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474217
changing demands for modern central bank interventions in the economy. Financial instability, followed by WWII, left a world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455241
In broad perspective, there have been essentially two competing views of the global financial crisis, albeit there are some complementarities among them. One view looks across the border: it mainly blames external imbalances, the large-scale mix of unprecedented pattern current account deficits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460056