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Households' and firms' subjective inflation expectations play a central role in macroeconomic and intertemporal microeconomic models. We discuss how subjective inflation expectations are measured, the patterns they display, their determinants, and how they shape households' and firms' economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210074
first review standard data sources and discuss their advantages and disadvantages. We then document that household inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013172125
As the pandemic spread across the U.S., disagreement among U.S. households about inflation expectations surged along with the mean perceived and expected level of inflation. Simultaneously, the inflation experienced by households became more dispersed. Using matched micro data on spending of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012814415
. Information treatments about current and next year's interest rates have a strong effect on household expectations but treatments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479302
We study how different forms of communication influence the inflation expectations of individuals in a randomized controlled trial. We first solicit individuals' inflation expectations in the Nielsen Homescan panel and then provide eight different forms of information regarding inflation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479438
With a binding effective lower bound on interest rates and large government deficits, conventional policies are unviable and policymakers resort to unconventional policies, which target households' expectations directly. Using unique micro data and a difference-in-differences strategy, we assess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481594
primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate this higher inflation. Are household inflation expectations sensitive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482700
luxury goods. Moreover, uncertainty reduces household propensity to invest in mutual funds. These results support the notion … that macroeconomic uncertainty can impact household decisions and have large negative effects on economic outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496179
This paper discusses the recent wave of research that has emphasized the importance of measures of consumers' inflation expectations. In contrast to other measures of expected inflation, such as for experts or financial market participants, consumers' inflation expectations capture the broader...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544766